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World: Voleybolnaya Nations League - Playoff

30.07.2026 05:00 UTC Match prediction

30.07.2026 05:00 UTC

Finished

World: Voleybolnaya Nations League - Playoff

Chile (w) - USA

Volleyball

Chile (w)

0 : 3

Finished

USA

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Chile (w) — 60%

Pure model vs market (1 · Chile (w)): model 74% · market 60% Δ +14 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Chile (w) ✓ Pick60.3%

market60%

2 · USA39.7%

market40%

Model estimate: win Chile (w) 60.3%, win USA 39.7%. Model favourite — Chile (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Chile (w) (odds1.58) Score 3:1 confidence 61% ✗ outcome missed

• Italy: forma VVVPV (4-1)
• USA: forma PPVVP (2-3)
• ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
• Model backs Italy: probability 61% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.58)
• no edge over the line (-2 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chile (w) - USA July 30, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chile (w).

Line favourite market consensus: Chile (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.64 / 2 2.42
Glicko: Chile (w) 60.3% / USA 39.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 2.3%

1 ✓ Pick 59.6%

2 40.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

Chile (w)

Last 5: 4W · 1L · sets 14:5 · 80%

3:1ACuba

3:0AArgentina

3:0ABelgium

2:3AJapan

3:1ABrazil

USA

Last 5: 2W · 3L · sets 9:9 · 40%

0:3HPoland

1:3HBulgaria

3:0HBrazil

3:0HChina

2:3HItaly

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

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Match center

Start 30.07.2026 05:00 UTC

Form 6 matches

H2H 1

Match center

Chile (w) - USA

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat

Movement Line history

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 0:3

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 60.3% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.728 / LogLoss 0.925

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 53.1% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.564 / LogLoss 0.757

Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Chile (w) 58.9% 60.3% market and model agree

USA 41.1% 39.7%

1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model

P1 / P2 60.3% / 39.7% probabilities

Rating 1,834 / 1,628 Chile (w) / USA

RD 141 / 152 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,551-2,116 / 1,325-1,931 strength interval

HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.30 market consensus · no value · model 39.7%

1 1.60 market consensus · no value · model 60.3%

Total

Over 184.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Over 185.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Betcity	Leon
	—	1.86 53.8%
	1.90 52.6%	—
	—	1.84 54.4%
	1.90 52.6%	—

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome	Betcity	Leon
	1.56 64.1%	1.64 61.0%
	2.42 41.3%	2.17 46.1%

Total

Outcome	Betcity	Leon
Over 184.5	—	1.85 54.1%
Over 185.5	1.90 52.6%	—
Under 184.5	—	1.85 54.1%
Under 185.5	1.90 52.6%	—

Match center

Chile (w)

W W W L W

19.07 04:30 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

Chile (w) 3:1 Cuba

18.07 08:20 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

Chile (w) 3:0 Argentina

16.07 04:30 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

Chile (w) 3:0 Belgium

15.07 08:20 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

Chile (w) 2:3 Japan

26.06 16:00 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

Chile (w) 3:1 Brazil

4 Wins

1 Losses

2.8 Scored

1.0 Conceded

80% Win percentage

USA

L L W W L

19.07 23:00 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

USA 0:3 Poland

18.07 23:00 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

USA 1:3 Bulgaria

16.07 23:00 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

USA 3:0 Brazil

15.07 23:00 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

USA 3:0 China

14.06 20:00 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

USA 2:3 Italy

2 Wins

3 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.8 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyChile (w) - USA

Chile (w)

1 matches total

USA

Chile (w): 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

USA: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Italy 3:2 (14.06 20:00 UTC+0) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 14.06 20:00 UTC+0) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

14.06 20:00 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

Italy

3:2

USA