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World: Voleybolnaya Nations League - Playoff
World: Voleybolnaya Nations League - Playoff
semi-final 31.07.2026 09:30 UTC
31.07.2026 09:30 UTC semi-final
Not started

World: Voleybolnaya Nations League - Playoff

Japan - USA

Volleyball
Japan
Japan
- : -
Not started
USA
USA
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 USA — 55%

Pure model vs market (2 · USA): model 33% · market 58% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Japan44.6%
2 · USA55.4%

Model estimate: win Japan 44.6%, win USA 55.4%. Model favourite — USA.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2USA (odds1.63) Score 2:3 confidence 55%
  • • Japan: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • USA: forma VPPVV (3-2)
  • • Model backs USA: probability 55% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.63)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Japan - USA July 31, 2026

Volleyball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: USA. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.26 / 2 1.64

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 42.1%
2 57.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Japan
6-4WLWLLLWWWW
sets for 1.8sets against 1.7
USA

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Stadium Beylun Gimnazium (Ninbo, China), vmestimost: 8000
Start 31.07.2026 09:30 UTC
Stage 1/2 finala
Form 10 matches
H2H 8
Match center

Japan - USA

Volleyball, Japan - USA, 1 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Japan - USA, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Nations League (m) 2026, semi-final.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 8 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Overview
More needed
Lineup / squad Championat
Referees source needed
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Japan 42.2% 44.6%
USA 57.8% 55.4% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 44.6% / 55.4% probabilities
Rating 1,875 / 1,751 Japan / USA
RD 159 / 144 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,558-2,192 / 1,463-2,040 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.63 market consensus · no value · model 55.4%
1 2.24 market consensus · no value · model 44.6%
Total
Over 185.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 185.5 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Betcity Leon
2.26 44.3% 2.21 45.3%
1.64 61.0% 1.62 61.7%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
Over 185.5 1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8%
Under 185.5 1.90 52.6% 1.84 54.4%
Match center
Japan
W
29.07 09:30 UTC World: Voleybolnaya Nations League - Playoff
Japan 3:1 ChinaChina
1 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
USA
W
30.07 05:00 UTC World: Voleybolnaya Nations League - Playoff
USA 3:0 ItalyItaly
1 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyJapan - USA

Japan
0 matches total
USA
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2026 Nations League (m) USA 2 : 3 Japan Predvaritelnyy etap 20.07.
Event
2025 Nations League (m) USA 0 : 3 Japan Predvaritelnyy etap 02.08.
Event
2024 Olimpiyskie Games (m) Japan 1 : 3 USA Group C. 3-y Round 23.06.
Event
2024 Nations League (m) Japan 3 : 0 USA Predvaritelnyy etap 11.06.
Event
2022 Nations League (m) Japan 2 : 3 USA Predvaritelnyy etap 23.06.
Event
2021 Nations League (m) USA 3 : 0 Japan Predvaritelnyy etap 05.10.
Event
2019 (m) Japan 0 : 3 USA World Cup. 4-y Round 22.06.
Event
2019 Nations League (m) USA 3 : 0 Japan Predvaritelnyy etap 01.06.
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Japan
Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 USA
Japan Team comparison USA
13 Games 13
13 Wins 9
0 Losses 4
39 Vyigrano partiy 32
16 Proigrano partiy 16
33 Points 28
13 Games 13
13 Wins 9
0 Losses 4
39 Vyigrano partiy 32
16 Proigrano partiy 16
33 Points 28

Japan USA 13 Games 13 Wins 9 0 Losses 4 39 Vyigrano partiy 32 16 Proigrano partiy 16 33 Points 28 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Loran Tiyi Glavnye trenery Karch Kiray Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 74% 6% 20% Double chance 40% 47% 13% Materialy po prognozam USA – Russia, Brazil – Poland. Prognozy na Ligu natsiy Russia – Poland, USA – Brazil. Prognozy na Ligu natsiy Brazil – Poland, USA – France. Prognozy na Ligu natsiy Russia – USA. Prognoz: tremya setami ne oboydetsya Japan – Russia, USA – Poland. Prognozy na Ligu natsiy CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1315418' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Nations League (m) Turnirnaya Standings