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World: Voleybolnaya Nations League - Playoff
World: Voleybolnaya Nations League - Playoff
29.07.2026 09:30 UTC
Not started

World: Voleybolnaya Nations League - Playoff

Poland - Bulgaria

Volleyball
Poland
Poland
- : -
Not started
Bulgaria
Bulgaria
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Poland79%

Pure model vs market (1 · Poland): model 80% · market 80% Δ 0 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Poland ✓ Pick79.3%
market80%
2 · Bulgaria20.7%
market20%

Model estimate: win Poland 79.3%, win Bulgaria 20.7%. Model favourite — Poland.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Poland - Bulgaria July 29, 2026

Volleyball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Poland. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.23 / 2 4.91

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 1.7%
1 ✓ Pick 80.0%
2 20.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

7Wins1
2.9Sets on average1.3

Head-to-head matches: 8 · average total 4.1 (sets)

Team form

Poland
6-4WWLWLWWWLL
sets for 2.4sets against 1.5
Bulgaria
4-6LLWLLLWLWW
sets for 1.5sets against 2.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

Poland
Last 5: 5W · 0L · sets 15:1 · 100%
3:0AUSA
3:1AFrance
3:0ABrazil
3:0ABulgaria
3:0HGermany
Bulgaria
Last 5: 3W · 2L · sets 12:8 · 60%
3:1HGermany
2:3ATurkey
1:2ASerbia
3:1HIran
3:1HCanada

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 09:30 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 2
Match center

Poland - Bulgaria

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 2 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Poland 79.2% 79.3% market and model agree
Bulgaria 20.8% 20.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 79.3% / 20.7% probabilities
Rating 1,839 / 1,537 Poland / Bulgaria
RD 126 / 126 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,586-2,092 / 1,284-1,790 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.56 market consensus · no value · model 20.7%
1 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 79.3%
Total
Over 178.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 178.5 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.92 52.1% 1.84 54.4%
1.88 53.2% 1.86 53.8%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.23 81.3% 1.15 87.0%
4.20 23.8% 4.91 20.4%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
Over 178.5 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%
Under 178.5 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%
Match center
Poland
W W W W W
19.07 23:00 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Poland 3:0 USAUSA
18.07 19:00 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Poland 3:1 FranceFrance
17.07 23:00 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Poland 3:0 BrazilBrazil
15.07 15:00 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Poland 3:0 BulgariaBulgaria
10.07 16:30 UTC+0 World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Poland 3:0 GermanyGermany
5 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.2 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Bulgaria
W L L W W
19.07 12:30 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Bulgaria 3:1 GermanyGermany
17.07 12:30 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Bulgaria 2:3 TurkeyTurkey
16.07 16:00 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Bulgaria 1:2 SerbiaSerbia
15.07 12:30 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Bulgaria 3:1 IranIran
26.06 14:25 UTC+0 Fonbet volleyball live
Bulgaria 3:1 CanadaCanada
3 Wins
2 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPoland - Bulgaria

Poland
2 matches total
Bulgaria
Poland: 2 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Bulgaria: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Poland 3:1 (22.05 16:00 UTC+0) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 14.06 03:00 UTC+0) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

6 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 6

Match history

14.06 03:00 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Poland
3:2
Ukraine
22.05 16:00 UTC+0 World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Poland
3:1
Ukraine