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Nations league. Japan
Nations league. Japan
Предварительный этап 15.07.2026 18:00 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 18:00 MSK Предварительный этап
Finished

Nations league. Japan

Bulgaria - Poland

Volleyball
Stadium Нау Арена (Хоффман-Эстейтс, США), вместимость: 10543
Referee Эндрю Кэмерон (Канада)
Bulgaria
Bulgaria
0 : 3
Finished
Poland
Poland
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Poland — 72%

Pure model vs market (2 · Poland): model 61% · market 78% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Bulgaria28.1%
market22%
2 · Poland ✓ Прогноз71.9%
market78%

Model estimate: win Bulgaria 28.1%, win Poland 71.9%. Model favourite — Poland.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Poland (odds1.28) confidence 64% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bulgaria - Poland 15 июля 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Poland.

Line favourite Fonbet: Poland. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.66 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Bulgaria 28.1% / Poland 71.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 26.3%
1 21.6%
2 ✓ Прогноз 78.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 4.20 ↑ 16.00
Победитель П2 1.23 ↓ 1.01

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Bulgaria
#86 ptsGP 32-1
Poland
#95 ptsGP 31-2

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Bulgaria
7-3WWLWWLWLWW
sets for 2.3sets against 1.7
Poland
6-4WWLWLWWWLL
sets for 2.4sets against 1.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT

Google AI updated14.07.2026 17:12 MSK
1 24%
2 76% ✓ favourite
Score1:3 Total points: ТМ 181.5 Bet:Победа Польши с форой по сетам (-1.5)
Claude updated14.07.2026 17:19 MSK
1 27%
2 73% ✓ favourite
Score1:3 Total points: ТБ 184.5 Bet:Фора Болгарии (+1.5) по сетам
Qwen updated14.07.2026 17:16 MSK
1 22%
2 78% ✓ favourite
Score3:1 Total points: ТБ 187.5 Bet:ТБ 187.5 очков
Kimi updated14.07.2026 17:21 MSK
1 22%
2 78% ✓ favourite
Score1:3 Total points: ТБ 178.5 Bet:П2 + ТБ 178.5
GLM 5.2 updated14.07.2026 18:41 MSK
1 15%
2 85% ✓ favourite
Score1:3 Total points: ТМ 183.5 Bet:П2 (Победа Польши) — ставка основана исключительно на коэ

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total points Bet
Google AI 24% 76% 1:3 ТМ 181.5 Победа Польши с форой по сетам (-1.5)
Claude 27% 73% 1:3 ТБ 184.5 Фора Болгарии (+1.5) по сетам
Qwen 22% 78% 3:1 ТБ 187.5 ТБ 187.5 очков
Kimi 22% 78% 1:3 ТБ 178.5 П2 + ТБ 178.5
GLM 5.2 15% 85% 1:3 ТМ 183.5 П2 (Победа Польши) — ставка основана исключительно на коэ

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Match center
Stadium Нау Арена (Хоффман-Эстейтс, США), вместимость: 10543
Referee Эндрю Кэмерон (Канада)
Start 15.07.2026 18:00 MSK
Stage Предварительный этап
Form 10 matches
H2H 8
Match center

Bulgaria - Poland

Волейбол, Болгария - Польша, 15 июля 2026: обзор матча, счет 0 : 3, статистика и результаты, видео голов. Лига наций (м) 2026, Предварительный этап. Во сколько начало матча Болгария - Польша, где смотреть прямой эфир, смотреть онлайн трансляцию матча.

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 8 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Lineup / squad Referees
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bulgaria 26.9% 28.1%
Poland 73.1% 71.9% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 28.1% / 71.9% probabilities
Rating 1,412 / 1,726 Bulgaria / Poland
RD 160 / 148 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,091-1,732 / 1,431-2,021 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 71.9%
1 3.49 market consensus · no value · model 28.1%
Total
Over 126.5 1.46 Fonbet · line only
Over 127.5 1.12 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 +10.5 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% —
П1 +9.5 1.92 52.1% 1.90 52.6% —
П2 +10.5 — — 1.93 51.8%
П2 +11.5 — — 2.13 47.0%
П2 +12.5 — — 1.87 53.5%
П2 +13.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
П2 +14.5 — — 1.62 61.7%
П2 +15.5 — — 1.77 56.5%
П2 +16.5 — — 1.73 57.8%
П2 +17.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
П2 +18.5 — — 1.83 54.6%
П2 +19.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
П2 -10.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —
П2 -9.5 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% —

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 16.00 6.3% 3.66 27.3%
П2 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.25 80.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 126.5 — — 1.46 68.5%
ТБ 127.5 — — 1.12 89.3%
ТБ 177.5 1.86 53.8% 1.82 55.0% —
ТБ 178.5 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% —
ТБ 179.5 1.89 52.9% 1.85 54.1% —
ТБ 180.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% —
ТМ 177.5 1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2% —
ТМ 178.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% —
ТМ 179.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% —
ТМ 180.5 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% —
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-3
2026-07-15 · Bulgaria 0:3 Poland
2025-07-19 · Bulgaria 3:2 Poland
2024-06-04 · Bulgaria 1:3 Poland
2023-06-09 · Bulgaria 2:3 Poland
Source: ruscore
Bulgaria
L W W L
14.06 18:30 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Bulgaria 0:3 SerbiaSerbia
13.06 19:30 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Bulgaria 3:1 ArgentinaArgentina
11.06 20:30 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Bulgaria 3:0 IranIran
10.06 17:00 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Bulgaria 1:3 BelgiumBelgium
2 Wins
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Poland
W L L W
14.06 06:00 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Poland 3:2 UkraineUkraine
12.06 13:00 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Poland 2:3 JapanJapan
11.06 13:00 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Poland 2:3 SloveniaSlovenia
10.06 06:00 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Poland 3:0 KubaKuba
2 Wins
2 Losses
2.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBulgaria - Poland

Bulgaria
0 matches total
Poland
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2025 Лига наций (м) Болгария 3 : 2 Польша Предварительный этап 04.06.
Event
2024 Лига наций (м) Польша 3 : 1 Болгария Предварительный этап 09.06.
Event
2023 Лига наций (м) Польша 3 : 2 Болгария Предварительный этап 26.08.
Event
2022 (м) Польша 3 : 0 Болгария Группа C. 1-й тур 11.06.
Event
2022 Лига наций (м) Болгария 0 : 3 Польша Предварительный этап 09.06.
Event
2021 Лига наций (м) Польша 3 : 0 Болгария Предварительный этап 08.06.
Event
2019 Лига наций (м) Польша 3 : 1 Болгария Предварительный этап 18.09.
Event
2018 (м) Болгария 1 : 3 Польша Группа D. 5-й тур 10.06.
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Bulgaria
Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Poland
Bulgaria Team comparison Poland
8 Игры 8
5 Победы 6
3 Поражения 2
18 Выиграно партий 22
15 Проиграно партий 14
14 Очки 17
8 Игры 8
5 Победы 6
3 Поражения 2
18 Выиграно партий 22
15 Проиграно партий 14
14 Очки 17

Болгария Польша 8 Игры 8 5 Победы 6 3 Поражения 2 18 Выиграно партий 22 15 Проиграно партий 14 14 Очки 17