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Nations league. Japan
Nations league. Japan
Предварительный этап 15.07.2026 12:00 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 12:00 MSK Предварительный этап
Finished

Nations league. Japan

Germany - Slovenia

Volleyball
Stadium Белград Арена (Белград, Сербия), 290 зрителей (2% при вместимости 18 386)
Referee Доминга Лот (Италия)
Germany
Germany
1 : 3
Finished
Slovenia
Slovenia
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Slovenia — 60%

Pure model vs market (2 · Slovenia): model 55% · market 82% Δ −27 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Germany39.6%
market18%
2 · Slovenia ✓ Прогноз60.4%
market82%

Model estimate: win Germany 39.6%, win Slovenia 60.4%. Model favourite — Slovenia.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Slovenia (odds1.54) confidence 57% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Germany - Slovenia 15 июля 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Slovenia.

Line favourite Fonbet: Slovenia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.25 / 2 1.16
  • Glicko: Germany 39.6% / Slovenia 60.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 18.1%
2 ✓ Прогноз 81.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.54 ↑ 5.25
Победитель П2 1.52 ↓ 1.16

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Germany
#152 ptsGP 31-2
Slovenia
#64 ptsGP 22-0

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Germany
3-7LWLLLWLWLL
sets for 1.3sets against 2.3
Slovenia
6-4LLWLWLWWWW
sets for 2.3sets against 2.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT

Google AI updated14.07.2026 13:04 MSK
1 38%
2 62% ✓ favourite
Score1:3 Total points: ТМ 181.5 Bet:Фора Словении по сетам (-1.5)
Claude updated14.07.2026 13:11 MSK
1 36%
2 64% ✓ favourite
Score1:3 Total points: ТБ 186.5 Bet:П2 (победа Словении) за 1.56
Qwen updated14.07.2026 13:07 MSK
1 39%
2 61% ✓ favourite
Score3:1 Total points: ТБ 182.5 Bet:Победа Словении с форой (-1.5) по сетам
Kimi updated14.07.2026 13:12 MSK
1 32%
2 68% ✓ favourite
Score1:3 Total points: ТБ 178.5 Bet:П2 (победа Словении)
GLM 5.2 updated14.07.2026 13:14 MSK
1 40%
2 60% ✓ favourite
Score3:1 Total points: ТБ 185.5 Bet:П2 (Победа Словении)

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total points Bet
Google AI 38% 62% 1:3 ТМ 181.5 Фора Словении по сетам (-1.5)
Claude 36% 64% 1:3 ТБ 186.5 П2 (победа Словении) за 1.56
Qwen 39% 61% 3:1 ТБ 182.5 Победа Словении с форой (-1.5) по сетам
Kimi 32% 68% 1:3 ТБ 178.5 П2 (победа Словении)
GLM 5.2 40% 60% 3:1 ТБ 185.5 П2 (Победа Словении)

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Match center
Stadium Белград Арена (Белград, Сербия), 290 зрителей (2% при вместимости 18 386)
Referee Доминга Лот (Италия)
Start 15.07.2026 12:00 MSK
Stage Предварительный этап
Form 10 matches
H2H 4
Match center

Germany - Slovenia

Волейбол, Германия - Словения, 15 июля 2026: обзор матча, счет 1 : 3, статистика и результаты, видео голов. Лига наций (м) 2026, Предварительный этап. Во сколько начало матча Германия - Словения, где смотреть прямой эфир, смотреть онлайн трансляцию матча.

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 4 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Lineup / squad Referees
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Germany 39.0% 39.6%
Slovenia 61.1% 60.4% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 39.6% / 60.4% probabilities
Rating 1,467 / 1,635 Germany / Slovenia
RD 164 / 171 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,138-1,795 / 1,293-1,978 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.16 Fonbet · no value · model 60.4%
1 5.25 Fonbet · no value · model 39.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.55 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.55 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 130.5 1.33 Fonbet · line only
Over 131.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 +3.5 1.90 52.6% — —
П1 +4.5 1.85 54.1% 1.82 55.0% —
П2 +0.5 — — 1.45 69.0%
П2 +1.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
П2 +10.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
П2 +11.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
П2 +12.5 — — 2.00 50.0%
П2 +13.5 — — 1.98 50.5%
П2 +14.5 — — 1.25 80.0%
П2 +15.5 — — 1.33 75.2%
П2 +16.5 — — 2.55 39.2%
П2 +17.5 — — 3.00 33.3%
П2 -0.5 — — 1.45 69.0%
П2 -1.5 — — 1.48 67.6%
П2 -3.5 1.80 55.6% — —
П2 -4.5 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2% —

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 2.40 41.7% 2.35 42.6% 5.25 19.1% 2.38 42.0%
П2 1.51 66.2% 1.53 65.4% 1.16 86.2% 1.54 64.9%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 130.5 — — 1.33 75.2%
ТБ 131.5 — — 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 132.5 — — 1.58 63.3%
ТБ 133.5 — — 2.85 35.1%
ТБ 134.5 — — 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 135.5 — — 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 136.5 — — 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 137.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 184.5 — 1.83 54.6% —
ТБ 186.5 1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0% —
ТБ 187.5 1.88 53.2% 1.88 53.2% —
ТМ 184.5 — 1.87 53.5% —
ТМ 186.5 1.88 53.2% 1.88 53.2% —
ТМ 187.5 1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0% —
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-2
2026-07-15 · Germany 1:3 Slovenia
2025-09-17 · Germany 1:3 Slovenia
Source: ruscore
Germany
W W W
26.06 19:00 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Germany 3:1 BelgiumBelgium
14.06 16:00 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Germany 3:1 FranceFrance
11.06 00:30 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Germany 3:2 CanadaCanada
3 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.3 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Slovenia
L W W W
14.06 13:00 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Slovenia 1:3 JapanJapan
13.06 13:00 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Slovenia 3:2 KubaKuba
11.06 13:00 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Slovenia 3:2 PolandPoland
10.06 09:30 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League
Slovenia 3:2 ChinaChina
3 Wins
1 Losses
2.5 Scored
2.3 Conceded
75% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGermany - Slovenia

Germany
0 matches total
Slovenia
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2025 (м) Словения 3 : 1 Германия Группа E. 3-й тур 03.09.
Event
2022 (м) Словения 3 : 1 Германия 1/8 финала 30.08.
Event
2022 (м) Словения 3 : 0 Германия Группа D. 3-й тур 05.06.
Event
2021 Лига наций (м) Словения 1 : 3 Германия Предварительный этап ; ;
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Germany
Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Slovenia
Germany Team comparison Slovenia
8 Игры 8
4 Победы 6
4 Поражения 2
16 Выиграно партий 20
17 Проиграно партий 15
12 Очки 14
8 Игры 8
4 Победы 6
4 Поражения 2
16 Выиграно партий 20
17 Проиграно партий 15
12 Очки 14

Германия Словения 8 Игры 8 4 Победы 6 4 Поражения 2 16 Выиграно партий 20 17 Проиграно партий 15 12 Очки 14