Nations league. Japan
Serbia - Turkey
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Serbia — 55%
Pure model vs market (1 · Serbia): model 57% · market 7% Δ +50 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Serbia 55.2%, win Turkey 44.8%. Model favourite — Serbia.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Serbia - Turkey 15 июля 2026
Volleyball math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Turkey.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 14.00 / 2 1.02
- Glicko: Serbia 55.2% / Turkey 44.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Лидер исходов AI: П1
Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.
Standing in the tournament
League table
Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT
AI consensus:2
| AI | 1 | 2 | Score | Total points | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google AI | 44% | 56% | 1:3 | ТБ 182.5 | Победа Турции (П2) |
| Claude | 54% | 46% | 3:2 в пользу Сербии | ТБ 202.5 очка (и ТБ 3.5 сета) | Фора Турции (+1.5) по сетам |
| Qwen | 46% | 54% | 1:3 | ТБ 187.5 | Победа Турции (П2) |
| Kimi | 42% | 58% | 1:3 | ТБ 175.5 | П2 (победа Турции) |
| GLM 5.2 | 38% | 62% | 1:3 | ТБ 186.5 | Победа Турции (П2) |
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Serbia - Turkey
Волейбол, Сербия - Турция, 15 июля 2026: обзор матча, счет 0 : 3, статистика и результаты, видео голов. Лига наций (м) 2026, Предварительный этап. Во сколько начало матча Сербия - Турция, где смотреть прямой эфир, смотреть онлайн трансляцию матча.
Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 +0.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| П1 +1.5 | 1.89 52.9% | — | — |
| П1 -2.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.88 53.2% | — |
| П2 +2.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.82 55.0% | — |
| П2 -0.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.93 51.8% |
| П2 -1.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — | 2.07 48.3% |
| П2 -2.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 -3.5 | — | — | 2.00 50.0% |
| П2 -4.5 | — | — | 1.93 51.8% |
| П2 -5.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 -6.5 | — | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| П2 -7.5 | — | — | 1.45 69.0% |
Match winner (volleyball)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.67 59.9% | 1.70 58.8% | 14.00 7.1% | 1.66 60.2% |
| П2 | 2.09 47.9% | 2.03 49.3% | 1.02 98.0% | 2.14 46.7% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| ТБ 183.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 184.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 185.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.82 55.0% |
| ТБ 186.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 187.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТМ 183.5 | 1.89 52.9% | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТМ 184.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТМ 185.5 | 1.88 53.2% | 1.88 53.2% |
| ТМ 186.5 | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| ТМ 187.5 | 1.87 53.5% | — |
Form & head-to-head
Serbia
Kuba
Bulgaria
Brazil
Belgium
Argentina
Turkey
Canada
Italy
France
USA
Full head-to-head historySerbia - Turkey
Match history
Сербия Турция 8 Игры 8 4 Победы 5 4 Поражения 3 14 Выиграно партий 18 15 Проиграно партий 13 12 Очки 14