Nations league. Japan

Предварительный этап 15.07.2026 15:30 MSK Match prediction

15.07.2026 15:30 MSK Предварительный этап

Finished

Nations league. Japan

Ukraine - Iran

Volleyball

Stadium Белград Арена (Белград, Сербия), вместимость: 18386

Referee Фернандо де Араужо (Бразилия)

Ukraine

3 : 1

Finished

Iran

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Ukraine — 70%

Pure model vs market (1 · Ukraine): model 55% · market 93% Δ −38 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Ukraine ✓ Прогноз70.2%

market93%

2 · Iran29.8%

market7%

Model estimate: win Ukraine 70.2%, win Iran 29.8%. Model favourite — Ukraine.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Ukraine (odds1.33) confidence 63% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ukraine - Iran 15 июля 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ukraine.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ukraine. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 14.00
Glicko: Ukraine 70.2% / Iran 29.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 5.2%

1 ✓ Прогноз 93.2%

2 6.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Победитель П1 1.32 ↓ 1.02

Победитель П2 3.40 ↑ 14.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Ukraine

#76 ptsGP 32-1

Iran

#133 ptsGP 31-2

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Ukraine

4-6LLWLLLWLWW

sets for 1.5sets against 2.0

Iran

5-5LWLWWWLLLW

sets for 1.8sets against 2.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT

Google AI updated14.07.2026 16:20 MSK

1 73% ✓ favourite

2 27%

Score3:1 Total points: ТМ 182.5 Bet:Фора Украины (-1.5) по сетам

Per AI data H2H: 2-0

Claude updated14.07.2026 16:29 MSK

1 74% ✓ favourite

2 26%

Score3:1 Total points: ТБ 185.5 Bet:П1 (победа Украины); альтернатива для value — Украина −1.5 сета

Qwen updated14.07.2026 16:25 MSK

1 70% ✓ favourite

2 30%

Score3:1 Total points: ТБ 176.5 очков Bet:Победа Украины с форой (-1.5) по сетам

Per AI data H2H: 1-1

Kimi updated14.07.2026 16:31 MSK

1 72% ✓ favourite

2 28%

Score3:1 Total points: ТБ 175.5 Bet:П1 + ТБ 175.5

GLM 5.2 updated14.07.2026 16:33 MSK

1 71% ✓ favourite

2 29%

Score3:1 Total points: ТБ 182.5 Bet:Украина (-1.5) по сетам

AI consensus:1

AI	1	2	Score	Total points	Bet
Google AI	73%	27%	3:1	ТМ 182.5	Фора Украины (-1.5) по сетам
Claude	74%	26%	3:1	ТБ 185.5	П1 (победа Украины); альтернатива для value — Украина −1.5 сета
Qwen	70%	30%	3:1	ТБ 176.5 очков	Победа Украины с форой (-1.5) по сетам
Kimi	72%	28%	3:1	ТБ 175.5	П1 + ТБ 175.5
GLM 5.2	71%	29%	3:1	ТБ 182.5	Украина (-1.5) по сетам

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Match center

Stadium Белград Арена (Белград, Сербия), вместимость: 18386

Referee Фернандо де Араужо (Бразилия)

Start 15.07.2026 15:30 MSK

Stage Предварительный этап

Form 10 matches

H2H 1

Match center

Ukraine - Iran

Волейбол, Украина - Иран, 15 июля 2026: обзор матча, счет 3 : 1, статистика и результаты, видео голов. Лига наций (м) 2026, Предварительный этап. Во сколько начало матча Украина - Иран, где смотреть прямой эфир, смотреть онлайн трансляцию матча.

Form 4/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Championat match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Lineup / squad Referees

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 3:1

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Ukraine 71.9% 70.2% market and model agree

Iran 28.1% 29.8%

1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Volleyball math model

P1 / P2 70.2% / 29.8% probabilities

Rating 1,535 / 1,405 Ukraine / Iran

RD 159 / 184 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,217-1,853 / 1,037-1,772 strength interval

HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.24 market consensus · no value · model 29.8%

1 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 70.2%

Total

Over 136.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Over 137.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
П1 -10.5	—	—	1.38 72.5%
П1 -11.5	—	—	1.38 72.5%
П1 -7.5	1.80 55.6%	1.82 55.0%	—
П1 -8.5	1.90 52.6%	1.90 52.6%	—
П2 +7.5	1.93 51.8%	1.88 53.2%	—
П2 +8.5	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	—
П2 -10.5	—	—	3.05 32.8%
П2 -11.5	—	—	3.05 32.8%
П2 -12.5	—	—	1.70 58.8%
П2 -13.5	—	—	1.83 54.6%
П2 -6.5	—	—	2.55 39.2%
П2 -7.5	—	—	1.85 54.1%
П2 -8.5	—	—	2.70 37.0%
П2 -9.5	—	—	7.30 13.7%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
П1	1.33 75.2%	1.27 78.7%	1.02 98.0%	1.32 75.8%
П2	3.10 32.3%	3.40 29.4%	14.00 7.1%	3.22 31.1%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
ТБ 136.5	—	—	1.58 63.3%
ТБ 137.5	—	—	1.62 61.7%
ТБ 138.5	—	—	1.43 69.9%
ТБ 139.5	—	—	1.40 71.4%
ТБ 140.5	—	—	1.80 55.6%
ТБ 141.5	—	—	1.68 59.5%
ТБ 142.5	—	—	1.70 58.8%
ТБ 143.5	—	—	1.90 52.6%
ТБ 144.5	—	—	2.13 47.0%
ТБ 145.5	—	—	1.90 52.6%
ТБ 182.5	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	—
ТБ 183.5	1.90 52.6%	1.87 53.5%	—
ТМ 182.5	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	—
ТМ 183.5	1.83 54.6%	1.83 54.6%	—

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-1

2026-07-15 · Ukraine 3:1 Iran

2025-06-15 · Ukraine 2:3 Iran

Source: ruscore

Ukraine

L W W L

14.06 06:00 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

Ukraine 2:3 Poland

12.06 09:30 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

Ukraine 3:0 Kuba

11.06 09:30 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

Ukraine 3:1 China

10.06 13:00 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

Ukraine 0:3 Japan

2 Wins

2 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.8 Conceded

50% Win percentage

Iran

L L W L L

26.06 16:00 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

Iran 2:3 Japan

14.06 15:00 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

Iran 2:3 Belgium

13.06 00:00 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

Iran 3:0 Argentina

11.06 20:30 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

Iran 0:3 Bulgaria

11.06 00:00 МСК World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

Iran 1:3 Brazil

1 Wins

4 Losses

1.6 Scored

2.4 Conceded

20% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyUkraine - Iran

Ukraine

0 matches total

Iran

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event

2025 Лига наций (м) Украина 2 : 3 Иран Предварительный этап ; ;

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Ukraine

Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Iran

8 Игры 8

5 Победы 2

3 Поражения 6

18 Выиграно партий 13

12 Проиграно партий 19

16 Очки 9

8 Игры 8

5 Победы 2

3 Поражения 6

18 Выиграно партий 13

12 Проиграно партий 19

16 Очки 9

Украина Иран 8 Игры 8 5 Победы 2 3 Поражения 6 18 Выиграно партий 13 12 Проиграно партий 19 16 Очки 9