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Nations League
Nations League International
30.07.2026 06:55 UTC quarter-final
Not started

Nations League

Italy - USA

International Volleyball
Italy
Italy
- : -
Not started
USA
USA
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 USA60%

1 · Italy40.3%
market60%
2 · USA ✓ Pick59.7%
market40%

Model estimate: win Italy 40.3%, win USA 59.7%. Model favourite — USA.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2USA (odds2.29) Score 2:3 confidence 60%
  • USA: forma V (1-0)
  • Model backs USA: probability 60% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.29)
  • edge over the line +16 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Italy - USA July 30, 2026

Volleyball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Italy. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.57 / 2 2.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 60.5%
2 ✓ Pick 39.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.70 → 1.70
Pobeditel P2 2.15 → 2.15

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

USA
Last 1: 1W · 0L · sets 3:0 · 100%
3:0HBrazil

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

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Match center
Stadium Beylun Gimnazium (Ninbo, China), vmestimost: 8000
Start 30.07.2026 06:55 UTC
Form 1 matches
Match center

Italy - USA

Volleyball, Italy - USA, 30 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Italy - USA, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Nations League (m) 2026, quarter-final.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
Form liveresult, Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Italy 55.8% 40.3% market favourite
USA 44.2% 59.7% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 40.3% / 59.7% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,763 Italy / USA
RD 350 / 264 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,236-2,291 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.40 Fonbet · value +43.3% · model 59.7%
1 1.57 Fonbet · no value · model 40.3%
Total
Over 147.5 1.33 Fonbet · line only
Over 148.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.90 52.6%
1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2%
2.20 45.5%
2.20 45.5%
2.30 43.5%
2.55 39.2%
1.87 53.5%
1.82 55.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.93 51.8%
1.90 52.6%
1.60 62.5%
1.60 62.5%
1.55 64.5%
1.45 69.0%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1%
2.40 41.7% 2.23 44.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 147.5 1.33 75.2%
Over 148.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 176.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 184.5 1.86 53.8%
Over 185.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 147.5 3.05 32.8%
Under 148.5 3.00 33.3%
Under 176.5 2.50 40.0%
Under 184.5 1.84 54.4%
Under 185.5 1.90 52.6%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 5-0-3
2026-06-14 · Italy 3:2 USA
2025-06-30 · Italy 3:0 USA
2024-08-09 · Italy 0:3 USA
2024-06-06 · Italy 3:0 USA
2023-07-22 · Italy 0:3 USA
Source: ruscore
Italy
W
17.07 00:55 UTC+0 Nations League
Italy 3:0 BrazilBrazil
1 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
USA
W
17.07 00:55 UTC Nations League
USA 3:0 BrazilBrazil
1 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyItaly - USA

Italy
0 matches total
USA
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Italy
Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 USA
Italy Team comparison USA
12 Games 12
8 Wins 8
4 Losses 4
30 Vyigrano partiy 29
18 Proigrano partiy 16
26 Points 25
Italy. Prognoz: zal smetet sopernika Russia –
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Italy USA 12 Games 12 8 Wins 8 4 Losses 4 30 Vyigrano partiy 29 18 Proigrano partiy 16 26 Points 25 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Ferdinando De Dzhordzhi Glavnye trenery Karch Kiray Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 71% 14% 15% Double chance 43% 42% 15% Materialy po prognozam Serbia – Ukraine, France – Italy. Prognozy na voleybolnyy Evro-2019 USA – Russia, Brazil – Poland. Prognozy na Ligu natsiy Russia – Poland, USA – Brazil. Prognozy na Ligu natsiy Brazil – Poland, USA – France. Prognozy na Ligu natsiy Russia – Italy. Prognoz: zal smetet sopernika Russia – USA. Prognoz: tremya setami ne oboydetsya Japan – Russia, USA – Poland. Prognozy na Ligu natsiy CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1315412' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Nations League (m) Turnirnaya Standings