Nations League
Italy - USA
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 USA — 60%
Model estimate: win Italy 40.3%, win USA 59.7%. Model favourite — USA.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • USA: forma V (1-0)
- • Model backs USA: probability 60% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.29)
- • edge over the line +16 pp — value pick.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Italy - USA July 30, 2026
Volleyball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.57 / 2 2.40
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Volleyball stats
Form by set
Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.
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Italy - USA
Volleyball, Italy - USA, 30 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Italy - USA, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Nations League (m) 2026, quarter-final.
Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.87 53.5% | 1.83 54.6% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | 1.88 53.2% | |
| 2.20 45.5% | — | |
| 2.20 45.5% | — | |
| 2.30 43.5% | — | |
| 2.55 39.2% | — | |
| — | 1.87 53.5% | |
| — | 1.82 55.0% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.93 51.8% | — | |
| 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.60 62.5% | — | |
| 1.60 62.5% | — | |
| 1.55 64.5% | — | |
| 1.45 69.0% | — |
Match winner (volleyball)
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| 1.57 63.7% | 1.61 62.1% | |
| 2.40 41.7% | 2.23 44.8% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Over 147.5 | 1.33 75.2% | — |
| Over 148.5 | 1.35 74.1% | — |
| Over 176.5 | 1.47 68.0% | — |
| Over 184.5 | — | 1.86 53.8% |
| Over 185.5 | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 147.5 | 3.05 32.8% | — |
| Under 148.5 | 3.00 33.3% | — |
| Under 176.5 | 2.50 40.0% | — |
| Under 184.5 | — | 1.84 54.4% |
| Under 185.5 | 1.90 52.6% | — |
Form & head-to-head
Italy
Brazil
USA
Brazil
Full head-to-head historyItaly - USA
Match history
Italy USA 12 Games 12 8 Wins 8 4 Losses 4 30 Vyigrano partiy 29 18 Proigrano partiy 16 26 Points 25 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Ferdinando De Dzhordzhi Glavnye trenery Karch Kiray Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 71% 14% 15% Double chance 43% 42% 15% Materialy po prognozam Serbia – Ukraine, France – Italy. Prognozy na voleybolnyy Evro-2019 USA – Russia, Brazil – Poland. Prognozy na Ligu natsiy Russia – Poland, USA – Brazil. Prognozy na Ligu natsiy Brazil – Poland, USA – France. Prognozy na Ligu natsiy Russia – Italy. Prognoz: zal smetet sopernika Russia – USA. Prognoz: tremya setami ne oboydetsya Japan – Russia, USA – Poland. Prognozy na Ligu natsiy CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1315412' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Nations League (m) Turnirnaya Standings
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- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
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