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Nations League
Nations League International
29.07.2026 11:25 UTC quarter-final
Not started

Nations League

Japan - China

International Volleyball
Japan
Japan
- : -
Not started
China
China
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Japan59%

1 · Japan ✓ Pick59.0%
market91%
2 · China41.0%
market9%

Model estimate: win Japan 59.0%, win China 41.0%. Model favourite — Japan.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Japan - China July 29, 2026

Volleyball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Japan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 10.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 ✓ Pick 90.6%
2 9.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.05 → 1.05
Pobeditel P2 9.00 → 9.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Beylun Gimnazium (Ninbo, China), vmestimost: 8000
Start 29.07.2026 11:25 UTC
Match center

Japan - China

Volleyball, Japan - China, 29 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Japan - China, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Nations League (m) 2026, quarter-final.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form liveresult, Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Overview Championat
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Japan 89.6% 59.0% market and model agree
China 10.5% 41.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 59.0% / 41.0% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Japan / China
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 Fonbet · no value · model 41.0%
1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 59.0%
Total
Over 131.5 1.33 Fonbet · line only
Over 133.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.76 56.8%
1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6%
2.30 43.5%
2.65 37.7%
1.95 51.3%
1.77 56.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.55 64.5%
1.43 69.9%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.04 96.2% 1.03 97.1%
10.00 10.0% 9.80 10.2%

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 131.5 1.33 75.2%
Over 133.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 134.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 139.5 1.90 52.6% 1.84 54.4%
Over 140.5 1.86 53.8%
Over 141.5 1.92 52.1%
Under 131.5 3.05 32.8%
Under 133.5 2.55 39.2%
Under 134.5 2.45 40.8%
Under 139.5 1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8%
Under 140.5 1.84 54.4%
Under 141.5 1.88 53.2%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyJapan - China

Japan
0 matches total
China
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Japan
Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 China
Japan Team comparison China
12 Games 12
12 Wins 1
0 Losses 11
36 Vyigrano partiy 10
15 Proigrano partiy 33
30 Points 4
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Japan China 12 Games 12 Wins 1 0 Losses 11 36 Vyigrano partiy 10 15 Proigrano partiy 33 30 Points 4 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Loran Tiyi Glavnye trenery Vital Kheynen Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 80% 11% 9% Double chance 46% 44% 10% Materialy po prognozam Japan – Russia, USA – Poland. Prognozy na Ligu natsiy CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1315410' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Nations League (m) Turnirnaya Standings