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Nations League
Nations League International
30.07.2026 11:25 UTC quarter-final
Not started

Nations League

Poland - Ukraine

International Volleyball
Poland
Poland
- : -
Not started
Ukraine
Ukraine
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Poland59%

1 · Poland ✓ Pick59.0%
market82%
2 · Ukraine41.0%
market18%

Model estimate: win Poland 59.0%, win Ukraine 41.0%. Model favourite — Poland.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Poland - Ukraine July 30, 2026

Volleyball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Poland. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.14 / 2 5.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.0%
1 ✓ Pick 82.0%
2 18.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.20 → 1.20
Pobeditel P2 4.15 → 4.15

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Beylun Gimnazium (Ninbo, China), vmestimost: 8000
Start 30.07.2026 11:25 UTC
Match center

Poland - Ukraine

Volleyball, Poland - Ukraine, 30 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Poland - Ukraine, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Nations League (m) 2026, quarter-final.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form liveresult, Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Overview Championat
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Poland 77.6% 59.0% market and model agree
Ukraine 22.4% 41.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 59.0% / 41.0% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Poland / Ukraine
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.20 Fonbet · no value · model 41.0%
1 1.14 Fonbet · no value · model 59.0%
Total
Over 139.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Over 140.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2%
2.25 44.4%
2.25 44.4%
2.60 38.5%
1.85 54.1% 1.79 55.9%
1.82 55.0%
1.91 52.4%
1.98 50.5%
1.57 63.7%
1.57 63.7%
1.45 69.0%
1.95 51.3%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5%
5.20 19.2% 4.71 21.2%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 139.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 140.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 141.5 1.33 75.2%
Over 142.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 143.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 144.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 146.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 147.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 177.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 178.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 179.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 180.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 181.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 139.5 2.90 34.5%
Under 140.5 2.95 33.9%
Under 141.5 3.00 33.3%
Under 142.5 2.50 40.0%
Under 143.5 2.50 40.0%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPoland - Ukraine

Poland
0 matches total
Ukraine
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Poland
Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Ukraine
Poland Team comparison Ukraine
12 Games 12
10 Wins 7
2 Losses 5
34 Vyigrano partiy 27
15 Proigrano partiy 20
29 Points 23
Poland. Prognoz: Leon and kompaniya sygrayut luchshe Russia Slovenia – Russia, Poland – Germany. Prognozy na Evro-2019 po voleybolu Russia – Cuba, Poland – France. Prognozy na olimpiyskiy Qualifiers USA – Russia, Brazil – Poland. Prognozy na Ligu natsiy Russia – Poland, USA – Brazil. Prognozy na Ligu natsiy Brazil – Poland, USA – France. Prognozy na Ligu natsiy Russia – Portugal, France – Poland. Prognozy na Ligu natsiy Russia – Serbia, Brazil – Poland. Prognozy na Ligu natsiy Japan – Russia, USA – Poland. Prognozy na Ligu natsiy ; CHAMP({
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Poland Ukraine 12 Games 12 10 Wins 7 2 Losses 5 34 Vyigrano partiy 27 15 Proigrano partiy 20 29 Points 23 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Nikola Grbich Glavnye trenery Raul Lusio Losano Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 53% 14% 33% Double chance 34% 42% 24% Materialy po prognozam Slovenia — Poland. Prognoz: Leon and kompaniya sygrayut luchshe Russia Slovenia – Russia, Poland – Germany. Prognozy na Evro-2019 po voleybolu Russia – Cuba, Poland – France. Prognozy na olimpiyskiy Qualifiers USA – Russia, Brazil – Poland. Prognozy na Ligu natsiy Russia – Poland, USA – Brazil. Prognozy na Ligu natsiy Brazil – Poland, USA – France. Prognozy na Ligu natsiy Russia – Portugal, France – Poland. Prognozy na Ligu natsiy Russia – Serbia, Brazil – Poland. Prognozy na Ligu natsiy Japan – Russia, USA – Poland. Prognozy na Ligu natsiy CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1315416' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Nations League (m) Turnirnaya Standings