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Nations League
Nations League International
02.08.2026 11:25 UTC
02.08.2026 11:25 UTC
Not started

Nations League

International

USA - Poland

International Volleyball
USA
USA
- : -
Not started
Poland
Poland

USA meet Poland on August 2, 2026 in the Nations League, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): USA 2-0-0, Poland 1-0-0. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Poland — 65%

Pure model vs market (2 · Poland): model 43% · market 67% Δ −24 pp model estimates below the market

1 · USA35.2%
market33%
2 · Poland ✓ Pick64.8%
market67%

Model estimate: win USA 35.2%, win Poland 64.8%. Model favourite — Poland.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Poland (odds1.40) Score 1:3 confidence 65%
  • • USA: forma VV (2-0)
  • • Poland: forma V (1-0)
  • • Model backs Poland: probability 65% vs 71% on the line (odds 1.40)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction USA - Poland August 2, 2026

Volleyball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Poland. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.90 / 2 1.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.9%
1 32.6%
2 ✓ Pick 67.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 2.90 → 2.90
Pobeditel P2 1.40 → 1.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

USA
Last 2: 2W · 0L · sets 6:0 · 100%
3:0AItaly
3:0HBrazil
Poland
Last 1: 1W · 0L · sets 3:1 · 100%
3:1HUkraine

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 11:25 UTC
Market 1 32.6% @ 2.90 / 2 67.4% @ 1.40
Form 3 matches
Match center

USA - Poland

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
USA 32.9% 35.2%
Poland 67.1% 64.8% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 35.2% / 64.8% probabilities
Rating 1,844 / 1,640 USA / Poland
RD 240 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,364-2,323 / 1,059-2,222 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.40 Fonbet · no value · model 64.8%
1 2.90 Fonbet · no value · model 35.2%
Total
Over 144.5 1.33 Fonbet · line only
Over 145.5 1.33 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
2.50 40.0% —
2.20 45.5% —
1.95 51.3% 1.89 52.9%
1.47 68.0% —
1.60 62.5% —
1.85 54.1% —
— 1.81 55.3%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
2.90 34.5% 2.82 35.5%
1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 144.5 1.33 75.2% —
Over 145.5 1.33 75.2% —
Over 170.5 1.47 68.0% —
Over 171.5 1.47 68.0% —
Over 183.5 1.90 52.6% 1.84 54.4%
Over 184.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 144.5 3.00 33.3% —
Under 145.5 3.00 33.3% —
Under 170.5 2.50 40.0% —
Under 171.5 2.50 40.0% —
Under 183.5 1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8%
Under 184.5 1.90 52.6% —
Match center
USA
W W
30.07 06:55 UTC Nations League
USA 3:0 ItalyItaly
17.07 00:55 UTC Nations League
USA 3:0 BrazilBrazil
2 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Poland
W
30.07 11:25 UTC Nations League
Poland 3:1 UkraineUkraine
1 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUSA - Poland

USA
0 matches total
Poland
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history