Sbornye. Friendlies
Tunisia take on Morocco on August 4, 2026 in the Sbornye. Friendlies, International.
Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Tunisia — 73%
Pure model vs market (1 · Tunisia): model 50% · market 76% Δ −26 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Tunisia 73.4%, win Morocco 26.6%. Model favourite — Tunisia.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | — | 2.30 43.5% | — | |
| — | — | 2.55 39.2% | — | |
| 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | — | 1.80 55.6% | |
| — | — | 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| — | — | 1.55 64.5% | — | |
| — | — | 1.45 69.0% | — |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.21 82.6% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.22 82.0% | |
| 3.80 26.3% | 5.00 20.0% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.86 25.9% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 136.5 | — | — | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 138.5 | — | — | 1.33 75.2% |
| Over 141.5 | — | — | 1.47 68.0% |
| Over 143.5 | — | — | 1.47 68.0% |
| Over 174.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 177.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% |
| Under 136.5 | — | — | 3.05 32.8% |
| Under 138.5 | — | — | 3.00 33.3% |
| Under 141.5 | — | — | 2.50 40.0% |
| Under 143.5 | — | — | 2.50 40.0% |
| Under 174.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Under 177.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.83 54.6% | — |
Full head-to-head historyTunisia - Morocco
The Tunisia - Morocco breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
