Belgium (w) take on Hungary (w) on August 4, 2026 in the South American Cup. Women. Peru. 5th place, International.
Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1Belgium (w) — 80%
Pure model vs market (1 · Belgium (w)): model 16% · market 87%Δ −71 ppmodel estimates below the market
80%1
1 · Belgium (w) ✓ Pick79.8%
market87%
2 · Hungary (w)20.2%
market13%
Model estimate: win Belgium (w) 79.8%, win Hungary (w) 20.2%. Model favourite — Belgium (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Belgium (w) - Hungary (w) August 4, 2026
Volleyball math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Belgium (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / 2 7.00
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.6%
3 books
1 ✓ Pick87.0%
213.0%
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P11.13↓ 1.05
Winner P24.70↑ 7.00
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
🏐
Volleyball stats
Form by set
Belgium (w)
Last 5: 2W · 3L · sets 7:13 · 40%
0:3HUkraine (Zh)
0:3HItaly (zh)
1:3HCanada (Zh)
3:2HDominican Republic (Zh)
3:2HDominican Republic (Zh)
Hungary (w)
Last 5: 3W · 2L · sets 12:7 · 60%
1:3ASweden (Zh)
3:1HCroatia (Zh)
3:0AEstonia (Zh)
3:0ANorth Macedonia (Zh)
2:3AGreece (Zh)
Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.
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Match center
Start04.08.2026 16:55 UTC
Market1 87.0% @ 1.05 / 2 13.0% @ 7.00
Form6 matches
Match center
Belgium (w) - Hungary (w)
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Lineup / squadChampionat
Market and Glicko
Volleyball math model.
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Belgium (w)87.0%79.8%market and model agree
Hungary (w)13.0%20.2%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Volleyball math model
P1 / P279.8% / 20.2%
probabilities
Rating1,223 / 1,712
Belgium (w) / Hungary (w)
RD154 / 186
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD914-1,531 / 1,339-2,084
strength interval
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Betting snapshot
1X2
27.00
Fonbet · no value · model 20.2%
11.05
Fonbet · no value · model 79.8%
Total
Over 142.51.85
Fonbet · line only
Under 142.51.85
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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Ukraine (Zh)
Italy (zh)
Canada (Zh)
Dominican Republic (Zh)
Sweden (Zh)
Croatia (Zh)
Estonia (Zh)
North Macedonia (Zh)
Greece (Zh)