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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff
North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff
30.07.2026 19:00 UTC
Not started

North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff

Mexico - Cuba

Volleyball
Mexico
Mexico
- : -
Not started
Cuba
Cuba
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Cuba70%

Pure model vs market (2 · Cuba): model 40% · market 73% Δ −33 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Mexico29.9%
market27%
2 · Cuba ✓ Pick70.1%
market73%

Model estimate: win Mexico 29.9%, win Cuba 70.1%. Model favourite — Cuba.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mexico (odds2.75) Score 3:1 confidence 66%
  • Mexico: forma PVVVP (3-2)
  • Cuba: forma PVVVP (3-2)
  • Model backs Mexico: probability 66% vs 36% on the line (odds 2.75)
  • edge over the line +29 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mexico - Cuba July 30, 2026

Volleyball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Cuba. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.45 / 2 1.25

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 26.6%
2 ✓ Pick 73.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 2.75 ↑ 3.45
Pobeditel P2 1.40 ↓ 1.25

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Mexico

no data

Cuba
3-7LLWLWLWLLL
sets for 1.2sets against 2.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

Mexico
Last 5: 3W · 2L · sets 12:8 · 60%
1:3APuerto-Riko
3:1HVenezuela
3:1HDominican Republic
3:0HSurinam
2:3AColombia
Cuba
Last 5: 3W · 2L · sets 12:7 · 60%
2:3AColombia
3:1HDominican Republic
3:0AVenezuela
3:0HGvatemala
1:3HPuerto-Riko

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 19:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
Match center

Mexico - Cuba

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mexico 26.6% 29.9%
Cuba 73.4% 70.1% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 29.9% / 70.1% probabilities
Rating 1,568 / 1,516 Mexico / Cuba
RD 159 / 117 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,250-1,886 / 1,283-1,749 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 70.1%
1 3.45 Fonbet · no value · model 29.9%
Total
Over 176.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Over 178.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.78 56.2% 1.90 52.6%
1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1%
1.86 53.8% 1.83 54.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.87 53.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.88 53.2% 1.80 55.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.80 55.6%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
3.60 27.8% 3.45 29.0% 3.48 28.7%
1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 176.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 178.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Over 179.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Over 180.5 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%
Over 181.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 182.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Under 176.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 178.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 179.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 180.5 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%
Under 182.5 1.81 55.3% 1.85 54.1%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-3
2023-10-30 · Mexico 2:3 Cuba
2023-06-30 · Mexico 1:3 Cuba
2018-08-02 · Mexico 3:2 Cuba
2018-07-30 · Mexico 0:3 Cuba
Source: ruscore
Mexico
L W
29.07 20:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff
Mexico 1:3 Puerto-RikoPuerto-Riko
28.07 20:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff
Mexico 3:1 VenezuelaVenezuela
1 Wins
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Cuba
L W
29.07 22:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff
Cuba 2:3 Colombia
28.07 22:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff
Cuba 3:1 Dominican RepublicDominican Republic
1 Wins
1 Losses
2.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMexico - Cuba

Mexico
0 matches total
Cuba
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history