North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff
Mexico - Cuba
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Cuba — 70%
Pure model vs market (2 · Cuba): model 40% · market 73% Δ −33 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Mexico 29.9%, win Cuba 70.1%. Model favourite — Cuba.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Mexico: forma PVVVP (3-2)
- • Cuba: forma PVVVP (3-2)
- • Model backs Mexico: probability 66% vs 36% on the line (odds 2.75)
- • edge over the line +29 pp — value pick.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Mexico - Cuba July 30, 2026
Volleyball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.45 / 2 1.25
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Volleyball stats
Form by set
Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.
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Mexico - Cuba
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| — | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.78 56.2% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| 1.86 53.8% | 1.83 54.6% | — | |
| — | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| — | 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| — | 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| — | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| — | 1.87 53.5% | — | |
| — | — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.88 53.2% | — | 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | — | — | |
| 1.80 55.6% | — | — |
Match winner (volleyball)
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.60 27.8% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.48 28.7% | |
| 1.22 82.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.26 79.4% |
Total
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 176.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 178.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 179.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 180.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.83 54.6% |
| Over 181.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 182.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Under 176.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 178.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Under 179.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Under 180.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Under 182.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
Form & head-to-head
Mexico
Puerto-Riko
Venezuela
Cuba
Dominican Republic
Full head-to-head historyMexico - Cuba
Match history
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The Mexico - Cuba breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form