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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff
North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff
28.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Not started

North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff

Mexico - Venezuela

Volleyball
Mexico
Mexico
- : -
Not started
Venezuela
Venezuela
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Mexico58%

Pure model vs market (1 · Mexico): model 75% · market 56% Δ +19 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Mexico ✓ Pick57.9%
2 · Venezuela42.1%

Model estimate: win Mexico 57.9%, win Venezuela 42.1%. Model favourite — Mexico.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mexico (odds1.68) Score 3:0 confidence 76%
  • Mexico: forma VVPPV (3-2)
  • Venezuela: forma PPVP (1-3)
  • Model backs Mexico: probability 76% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.68)
  • edge over the line +16 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mexico - Venezuela July 28, 2026

Volleyball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mexico. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.65 / 2 2.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Pick 56.0%
2 44.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.77 ↓ 1.65
Pobeditel P2 1.93 ↑ 2.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

Mexico
Last 5: 3W · 2L · sets 11:9 · 60%
3:1HDominican Republic
3:0HSurinam
2:3AColombia
0:3HPuerto-Riko
3:2HDominican Republic
Venezuela
Last 4: 1W · 3L · sets 6:9 · 25%
0:3HCuba
2:3HPuerto-Riko
3:0HGvatemala
1:3AArgentina

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
Match center

Mexico - Venezuela

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mexico 56.0% 57.9% market and model agree
Venezuela 44.0% 42.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 57.9% / 42.1% probabilities
Rating 1,564 / 1,324 Mexico / Venezuela
RD 177 / 192 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,210-1,918 / 941-1,707 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.10 Fonbet · no value · model 42.1%
1 1.65 Fonbet · no value · model 57.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
1 +0.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 181.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Over 182.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.86 53.8%
1.88 53.2%
1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.82 55.0%
1.87 53.5%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.92 52.1% 1.65 60.6% 1.58 63.3%
1.75 57.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.23 44.8%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 181.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 182.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 183.5 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Under 181.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 182.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 183.5 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Match center
Mexico
W W L L W
27.07 22:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico 3:1 Dominican RepublicDominican Republic
26.07 18:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico 3:0 Surinam
25.07 18:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico 2:3 Colombia
14.06 23:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: NORCECA Final Four
Mexico 0:3 Puerto-RikoPuerto-Riko
14.06 00:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: NORCECA Final Four
Mexico 3:2 Dominican RepublicDominican Republic
3 Wins
2 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Venezuela
L L W L
27.07 20:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games
Venezuela 0:3 CubaCuba
26.07 20:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games
Venezuela 2:3 Puerto-RikoPuerto-Riko
25.07 16:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games
Venezuela 3:0 GvatemalaGvatemala
03.06 00:30 UTC+0 World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Venezuela 1:3 ArgentinaArgentina
1 Wins
3 Losses
1.5 Scored
2.3 Conceded
25% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMexico - Venezuela

Mexico
0 matches total
Venezuela
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history