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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff
North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff
29.07.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction
29.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff

Puerto-Rico - Mexico

Volleyball
Puerto-Rico
Puerto-Rico
3 : 1
Finished
Mexico
Mexico
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Puerto-Rico — 64%

Pure model vs market (1 · Puerto-Rico): model 77% · market 91% Δ −14 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Puerto-Rico ✓ Pick63.7%
market91%
2 · Mexico36.3%
market9%

Model estimate: win Puerto-Rico 63.7%, win Mexico 36.3%. Model favourite — Puerto-Rico.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Puerto-Rico (odds1.60) Score 3:0 confidence 77% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Puerto-Riko: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Mexico: forma VVVPP (3-2)
  • • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Puerto-Riko: probability 77% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.60)
  • • edge over the line +15 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Puerto-Rico - Mexico July 29, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Puerto-Rico.

Line favourite Fonbet: Puerto-Rico. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 10.00
  • Glicko: Puerto-Rico 63.7% / Mexico 36.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 ✓ Pick 90.7%
2 9.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.65 ↓ 1.45
Winner 2 2.10 ↑ 2.55

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

Puerto-Rico
Last 5: 5W · 0L · sets 15:4 · 100%
3:1HGvatemala
3:2AVenezuela
3:1ACuba
3:0AMexico
3:0HGvatemala
Mexico
Last 5: 3W · 2L · sets 11:8 · 60%
3:1HVenezuela
3:1HDominican Republic
3:0HSurinam
2:3AColombia
0:3HPuerto-Riko

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Puerto-Rico - Mexico

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 3:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 63.7% fact: home hit / ROI 57.0% / Brier 0.263 / LogLoss 0.451
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 54.1% fact: home hit / ROI 57.0% / Brier 0.421 / LogLoss 0.614
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Puerto-Rico 62.3% 63.7% market and model agree
Mexico 37.7% 36.3%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 63.7% / 36.3% probabilities
Rating 1,844 / 1,592 Puerto-Rico / Mexico
RD 191 / 167 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,461-2,227 / 1,258-1,926 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 Fonbet · no value · model 36.3%
1 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 63.7%
Total
Over 130.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 131.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
1.80 55.6% —
1.86 53.8% —
— 1.85 54.1%
— 1.83 54.6%
— 2.30 43.5%
— 2.52 39.7%
— 1.87 53.5%
— 2.25 44.4%
— 6.80 14.7%
— 2.65 37.7%
— 1.50 66.7%
— 1.52 65.8%
— 1.77 56.5%
— 1.80 55.6%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 2.05 48.8%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 1.83 54.6%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.47 68.0% 1.02 98.0% 1.57 63.7%
2.43 41.2% 10.00 10.0% 2.25 44.4%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 130.5 — 1.60 62.5%
Over 131.5 — 1.55 64.5%
Over 132.5 — 1.60 62.5%
Over 133.5 — 1.63 61.4%
Over 134.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Over 135.5 — 1.83 54.6%
Over 136.5 — 2.13 47.0%
Over 137.5 — 2.10 47.6%
Over 138.5 — 2.52 39.7%
Over 139.5 — 1.87 53.5%
Over 140.5 — 2.50 40.0%
Over 141.5 — 2.52 39.7%
Over 143.5 — 2.50 40.0%
Over 145.5 — 1.63 61.4%
Over 146.5 — 1.85 54.1%
Over 147.5 — 1.63 61.4%
Over 181.5 1.80 55.6% —
Under 181.5 1.86 53.8% —
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-0-1
2026-07-29 · Puerto-Riko 3:1 Mexico
2023-11-03 · Puerto-Riko 2:3 Mexico
2018-08-02 · Puerto-Riko 3:1 Mexico
Source: ruscore
Puerto-Rico
W W W W W
27.07 16:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games
Puerto-Rico 3:1 GvatemalaGvatemala
26.07 20:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games
Puerto-Rico 3:2 VenezuelaVenezuela
25.07 20:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games
Puerto-Rico 3:1 CubaCuba
14.06 23:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: NORCECA Final Four
Puerto-Rico 3:0 MexicoMexico
13.06 22:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: NORCECA Final Four
Puerto-Rico 3:0 GvatemalaGvatemala
5 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Mexico
W
28.07 20:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff
Mexico 3:1 VenezuelaVenezuela
1 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPuerto-Rico - Mexico

Puerto-Rico
1 matches total
Mexico
Puerto-Rico: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Mexico: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Puerto-Riko 3:0 (14.06 23:00 UTC+0) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (3:0, 14.06 23:00 UTC+0) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

14.06 23:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: NORCECA Final Four
Puerto-Riko
3:0
Mexico