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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women
North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women
03.08.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
03.08.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women

Mexico (w) - Venezuela (w)

Volleyball
Mexico (w)
Mexico (w)
3 : 0
Finished
Venezuela (w)
Venezuela (w)

Mexico (w) meet Venezuela (w) on August 3, 2026 in the North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women.

Recent form (W-D-L): Mexico (w) 1-0-0, Venezuela (w) 0-0-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 92% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Mexico (w) — 92%

Pure model vs market (1 · Mexico (w)): model 88% · market 91% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Mexico (w) ✓ Pick91.7%
market91%
2 · Venezuela (w)8.3%
market9%

Model estimate: win Mexico (w) 91.7%, win Venezuela (w) 8.3%. Model favourite — Mexico (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mexico (w) (odds1.17) Score 3:0 confidence 85% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Mexico (Zh): forma VVV (3-0)
  • • Venezuela (Zh): forma PVPP (1-3)
  • • Model backs Mexico (Zh): probability 85% vs 85% on the line (odds 1.17)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mexico (w) - Venezuela (w) August 3, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mexico (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Mexico (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00
  • Glicko: Mexico (w) 91.7% / Venezuela (w) 8.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0% 2 books
1 ✓ Pick 90.8%
2 9.2%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.01 → 1.01
Winner 2 15.00 ↓ 12.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

Mexico (w)
Last 4: 4W · 0L · sets 11:2 · 100%
2:0HTrinidad i Tobago (Zh)
3:2APuerto-Riko (Zh)
3:0HCosta Rica (Zh)
3:0ACuba (Zh)
Venezuela (w)
Last 5: 1W · 4L · sets 7:12 · 20%
2:3AColombia (Zh)
1:3HPeru (univ)
3:0HEcuador (Zh)
1:3AArgentina (univ)
0:3AColombia (Zh)

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 22:00 UTC
Market 1 91.6% @ 1.01 / 2 8.4% @ 11.00
Form 6 matches
Match center

Mexico (w) - Venezuela (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 3:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 91.7% fact: home hit / ROI 3.0% / Brier 0.014 / LogLoss 0.087
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 62.5% fact: home hit / ROI 3.0% / Brier 0.281 / LogLoss 0.470
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mexico (w) 92.1% 91.7% market and model agree
Venezuela (w) 7.9% 8.3%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 91.7% / 8.3% probabilities
Rating 1,895 / 1,338 Mexico (w) / Venezuela (w)
RD 230 / 202 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,435-2,355 / 934-1,741 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.30 market consensus · no value · model 8.3%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 91.7%
Total
Over 112.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 113.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% —
1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% —
1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% —
1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% —
— — 2.10 47.6%
— — 2.05 48.8%
— — 1.87 53.5%
— — 2.10 47.6%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 2.07 48.3%
— — 1.87 53.5%
— — 1.83 54.6%
— — 2.03 49.3%
— — 6.80 14.7%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
— 1.01 99.0% 1.03 97.1%
12.00 8.3% 11.00 9.1% 9.30 10.8%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 112.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
Over 113.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 114.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
Over 115.5 — — 1.58 63.3%
Over 116.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 117.5 — — 1.17 85.5%
Over 118.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
Over 119.5 — — 1.22 82.0%
Over 120.5 — — 2.80 35.7%
Over 121.5 — — 6.80 14.7%
Over 128.5 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% —
Over 130.5 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% —
Under 128.5 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% —
Under 130.5 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% —
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 3-0-0
2026-08-03 · Mexico (Zh) 3:0 Venezuela (Zh)
2025-08-09 · Mexico (Zh) 3:1 Venezuela (Zh)
2018-07-21 · Mexico (Zh) 3:0 Venezuela (Zh)
Source: ruscore
Mexico (w)
W
02.08 18:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Mexico (w) 2:0 Trinidad i Tobago (Zh)Trinidad i Tobago (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Venezuela (w)
L
02.08 22:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Venezuela (w) 2:3 Colombia (Zh)
0 Wins
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMexico (w) - Venezuela (w)

Mexico (w)
0 matches total
Venezuela (w)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history