Chile go head-to-head with Peru on August 5, 2026 in the South American Cup. Bolivia.
Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1Chile — 80%
Pure model vs market (1 · Chile): model 50% · market 85%Δ −35 ppmodel estimates below the market
80%1
1 · Chile ✓ Pick80.0%
market85%
2 · Peru20.0%
market15%
Model estimate: win Chile 80.0%, win Peru 20.0%. Model favourite — Chile.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Chile - Peru August 5, 2026
Volleyball math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Chile. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.08 / 2 6.10
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 9.0%
3 books · best price +1.9%
1 ✓ Pick85.0%
215.0%
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P11.11↓ 1.10
Winner P25.30↑ 5.50
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
🏐
Volleyball stats
Form by set
Peru (univ)
Last 5: 3W · 2L · sets 10:6 · 60%
1:2AColombia (univ)
0:2AColombia (univ)
3:1AVenezuela (zh)
3:1AVenezuela (Zh)
3:0HEcuador (Zh)
Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.
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Match center
Start05.08.2026 16:55 UTC
Market1 85.0% @ 1.08 / 2 15.0% @ 6.10
Form3 matches
Match center
Chile - Peru
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form3/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Lineup / squadChampionat
Market and Glicko
Volleyball math model.
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Chile83.3%80.0%market and model agree
Peru16.7%20.0%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Volleyball math model
P1 / P280.0% / 20.0%
probabilities
Rating1,500 / 1,490
Chile / Peru
RD350 / 154
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD800-2,200 / 1,182-1,799
strength interval
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Betting snapshot
1X2
26.10
Fonbet · no value · model 20.0%
11.08
Fonbet · no value · model 80.0%
Total
Over 162.51.85
Fonbet · line only
Under 162.51.85
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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Venezuela (Zh)