AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Aires Puros. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
Uruguay. Division A
Aires Puros meet Nacional B on August 16, 2026 in the Uruguay. Division A, International.
Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Aires Puros — 75%
Model estimate: win Aires Puros 74.8%, win Nacional B 25.2%. Model favourite — Aires Puros.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
score 2:0 · 60'
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.67 59.9% | |
| 1.57 63.7% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.95 51.3% | |
| 1.87 53.5% | |
| 1.62 61.7% | |
| 1.93 51.8% | |
| 1.65 60.6% | |
| 2.07 48.3% | |
| 2.25 44.4% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | |
| 2.15 46.5% | |
| 1.77 56.5% | |
| 2.10 47.6% | |
| 2.03 49.3% | |
| 1.85 54.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.16 86.2% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.19 84.0% | |
| 4.00 25.0% | 4.10 24.4% | 6.50 15.4% | 4.14 24.2% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 133.5 | — | — | 1.67 59.9% |
| Over 134.5 | — | — | 1.94 51.6% |
| Over 135.5 | — | — | 2.15 46.5% |
| Over 136.5 | — | — | 2.45 40.8% |
| Over 137.5 | — | — | 1.58 63.3% |
| Over 138.5 | — | — | 1.93 51.8% |
| Over 139.5 | — | — | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 140.5 | — | — | 1.63 61.4% |
| Over 141.5 | — | — | 1.87 53.5% |
| Over 142.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 143.5 | — | — | 2.50 40.0% |
| Over 144.5 | — | — | 2.13 47.0% |
| Over 145.5 | — | — | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 147.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 169.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Under 169.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.83 54.6% | — |
Full head-to-head history: Aires Puros - Nacional B
The Aires Puros - Nacional B breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
August 16, 2026.
