Who is the favourite in Poland vs USA?

By the PropickAI model, USA is favoured — about 69% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Poland vs USA?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to USA. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Poland vs USA?

Live odds for Poland vs USA from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

AI verdict

AI pick Poland win probability ~69% confidence High best odds 8.50

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Poland. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →

Full Access Go deeper than the free pick Your free pick and probability are below. Full Access adds the full 7-AI consensus, every value-edge pick, math-model probabilities and complete reports for every match.

Get Full Access →

World: Memorial Uberta Vagnera

29.08.2026 23:55 UTC Match prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

29.08.2026 23:55 UTC

Finished

World: Memorial Uberta Vagnera

Poland vs USA — Volleyball prediction

Volleyball

Poland

3 : 1

Finished

USA

Poland take on USA in volleyball, in World: Memorial Uberta Vagnera, on 29 August 2026. The PropickAI Glicko-2 model rates Poland as the favourite at around 69%. Sportsbook prices (4 books) put that result at roughly 69%.

Latest form: Poland 5 won and 0 lost; USA 4 won and 1 lost. Poland arrive on a winning run. On the Glicko scale it is 1919 for Poland against 1754 for USA - a gap of 164 points. The two have met 2 times lately, and the full record is shown below on this page.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is moderate. For reliability the safer lean is a protected market on Poland (double chance, say) rather than the outright win alone. Key markers: an edge of 164 Glicko rating points, the model's 69% for Poland. Read on for team stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI AI prediction. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Poland — 69%

1 · Poland ✓ Pick69.3%

market 69%

2 · USA30.7%

market 31%

Model estimate: win Poland 69.3%, win USA 30.7%. Model favourite — Poland.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Match winner — USA

Model confidence 84% ~91% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Poland (odds1.52) Score 3:1 confidence 62% ✓ outcome correct · exact score

• Poland: forma VVVVV (5-0)
• USA: forma PVVVV (4-1)
• ochnye 2-0 (za 2)
• liniya na pik P1 1.55→1.52 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
• Model backs Poland: probability 62% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.52)
• no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Poland - USA August 29, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like USA.

Line favourite Fonbet: USA. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 8.50 / 2 1.04
Glicko: Poland 69.3% / USA 30.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 7.6% 4 books · best price +520.4%

1 ✓ Pick 68.9%

2 31.1%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 1.55 ↑ 2.40

Winner 2 2.30 ↓ 1.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Poland

61%

8.50

USA

39%

4.75

Total

Over 183.5

50%

2.45

Under 183.5

50%

1.85

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

3Wins3

1.8Sets on average2.2

Head-to-head matches: 6 · average total 4.0 (sets)

Team form

Poland

6-4LWWWWWLWLL

sets for 2.2sets against 1.5

USA

8-2WWWWWWWWLL

sets for 2.5sets against 1.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

Poland

Last 5: 5W · 0L · sets 13:4 · 100%

2:1HSlovenia

3:2AUSA

2:0ASlovenia

3:1HUkraine

3:0AUSA

USA

Last 5: 4W · 1L · sets 12:8 · 80%

0:3HFrance

3:1APuerto-Riko

3:2HDominican Republic

3:2HCanada

3:0HGvatemala

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

Unlock the full AI analysis

Get the 7-AI consensus, math-model probabilities, value picks and full reports for every match with Full Access.

Get Full Access →

Match center

Start 29.08.2026 23:55 UTC

Market 1 10.9% @ 8.50 / 2 89.1% @ 1.04

Form 6 matches

H2H 2

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Poland 69%

💹 Market Poland 69%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

🏦 Virtual bank $10,000

$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

Stake ($)

My virtual bank & leaderboard →

Match center

Poland - USA

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 2 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 3:1

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 69.3% fact: home hit / Brier 0.189 / LogLoss 0.367

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 55.8% fact: home hit / Brier 0.391 / LogLoss 0.584

Glicko-2: public filter Watch caution: sets and points are still being collected Data: form home - 55.8% fact: home hit / Brier 0.391 / LogLoss 0.584

Glicko-2: precision filter Watch caution: sets and points are still being collected Data: form home - 55.8% fact: home hit / Brier 0.391 / LogLoss 0.584

Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Poland 68.9% 69.3% market and model agree

USA 31.1% 30.7%

1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model

P1 / P2 69.3% / 30.7% probabilities

Rating 1,919 / 1,754 Poland / USA

RD 110 / 95 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,699-2,138 / 1,564-1,945 strength interval

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 30.7%

1 8.50 Fonbet · weak value +488.7% · model 69.3%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 2.45 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 2.40 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 127.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only

Over 128.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.50 66.7%
	1.60 62.5%
	1.50 66.7%
	1.83 54.6%
	2.03 49.3%
	1.95 51.3%
	2.30 43.5%
	2.85 35.1%
	3.00 33.3%
	1.75 57.1%
	1.83 54.6%
	2.05 48.8%
	1.95 51.3%
	1.85 54.1%
	1.63 61.4%
	2.00 50.0%
	1.85 54.1%
	2.00 50.0%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome	Fonbet	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet	Leon
	8.50 11.8%	1.21 82.6%	1.16 86.2%	1.53 65.4%
	1.04 96.2%	4.10 24.4%	4.75 21.1%	2.35 42.6%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 127.5	1.57 63.7%
Over 128.5	1.83 54.6%
Over 129.5	1.37 73.0%
Over 130.5	1.95 51.3%
Over 131.5	3.20 31.3%
Over 132.5	3.20 31.3%
Over 133.5	1.87 53.5%
Over 134.5	1.87 53.5%
Over 135.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 136.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 137.5	2.15 46.5%
Over 138.5	2.13 47.0%
Over 139.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 140.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 141.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 142.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 143.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 144.5	1.85 54.1%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 7-0-2

2026-08-29 · Poland 3:1 USA

2026-08-02 · Poland 3:2 USA

2026-07-20 · Poland 3:0 USA

2025-06-29 · Poland 3:0 USA

2024-08-07 · Poland 3:2 USA

Source: ruscore

Poland

28.08 18:25 UTC World: Memorial Uberta Vagnera

Poland 2:1 Slovenia

1 Wins

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

100% Win percentage

USA

28.08 15:30 UTC World: Memorial Uberta Vagnera

USA 0:3 France

0 Wins

1 Losses

0.0 Scored

3.0 Conceded

0% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head history: Poland - USA

Poland

2 matches total

USA

Poland: 2 (100%)

USA: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Poland 3:0 (19.07 23:00 UTC+0) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 sets (3:2, 01.08 11:30 UTC+0) most sets in a game

Overall statistics

6 Sets scored 2

2 Sets conceded 6

Match history

01.08 11:30 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League - Playoff

Poland

3:2

USA

19.07 23:00 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

Poland

3:0

USA

Poland vs USA — Volleyball prediction

AI match prediction Poland - USA August 29, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Forecast by market

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

Team form

Form by set

Unlock the full AI analysis

Poland - USA

Match markets

Handicap

Match winner (volleyball)

Total

Form & head-to-head

Overall statistics

Match history

More predictions

Frequently asked questions