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Nations league. Japan
Nations league. Japan
22.05.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
22.05.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Nations league. Japan

Poland - Bulgaria

Volleyball
Poland
Poland
3 : 1
22:25 25:23 25:23 25:21
Finished
Bulgaria
Bulgaria

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Poland - Bulgaria May 22, 2026

Volleyball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Poland. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / 2 7.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 88.0%
2 12.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

7Wins1
2.9Sets on average1.3

Head-to-head matches: 8 · average total 4.1 (sets)

Team form

Poland
6-4WWLWLWWWLL
sets for 2.4sets against 1.5
Bulgaria
4-6LLWLLLWLWW
sets for 1.5sets against 2.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 22.05.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Poland - Bulgaria

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.70 Fonbet · line only
1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 142.5 1.32 Fonbet · line only
Over 143.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.70 58.8%
1.87 53.5%
1.77 56.5%
1.13 88.5%
2.80 35.7%
1.83 54.6%
1.83 54.6%
2.03 49.3%
1.83 54.6%
1.93 51.8%
5.10 19.6%
1.38 72.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.87 53.5%
2.15 46.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.77 56.5%
2.10 47.6%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Fonbet
1.05 95.2%
7.70 13.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 142.5 1.32 75.8%
Over 143.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 144.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 154.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 162.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 166.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 167.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 169.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 171.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 172.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 173.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 176.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 177.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 179.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 180.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 181.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 182.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 183.5 1.68 59.5%
Match center
Poland
L
20.05 13:00 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Poland 2:3 SerbiaSerbia
0 Wins
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPoland - Bulgaria

Poland
0 matches total
Bulgaria
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history