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Nations league. Japan
Nations league. Japan
23.05.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
23.05.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Nations league. Japan

Poland - Bulgaria

Volleyball
Poland
Poland
3 : 0
25:17 25:17 25:15
Finished
Bulgaria
Bulgaria

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Poland - Bulgaria May 23, 2026

Volleyball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Poland. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 8.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 89.1%
2 10.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Poland
6-4WWLWLWWWLL
sets for 2.4sets against 1.5
Bulgaria
7-3WWLWWLWLWW
sets for 2.3sets against 1.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 23.05.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Poland - Bulgaria

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 121.5 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Over 122.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.07 48.3%
1.87 53.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.95 51.3%
2.30 43.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
2.80 35.7%
1.80 55.6%
1.75 57.1%
2.40 41.7%
2.45 40.8%
1.90 52.6%
2.50 40.0%
1.60 62.5%
2.05 48.8%
2.07 48.3%
1.90 52.6%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Fonbet
1.04 96.2%
8.50 11.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 121.5 1.17 85.5%
Over 122.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 123.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 124.5 4.30 23.3%
Over 125.5 4.40 22.7%
Over 126.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 127.5 3.30 30.3%
Over 128.5 3.20 31.3%
Over 130.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 131.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 132.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 134.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 135.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 136.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 138.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 140.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 142.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 143.5 1.35 74.1%
Match center
Poland
W L
22.05 16:00 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Poland 3:1 UkraineUkraine
20.05 13:00 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Poland 2:3 SerbiaSerbia
1 Wins
1 Losses
2.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Bulgaria
W
22.05 13:00 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Bulgaria 3:2 SerbiaSerbia
1 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPoland - Bulgaria

Poland
0 matches total
Bulgaria
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history