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Nations league. Japan
Nations league. Japan
22.05.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction
22.05.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

Nations league. Japan

Serbia - Bulgaria

Volleyball
Serbia
Serbia
2 : 3
26:24 25:21 20:25 19:25 12:15
Finished
Bulgaria
Bulgaria

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Serbia - Bulgaria May 22, 2026

Volleyball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bulgaria. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.55 / 2 1.45

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 36.3%
2 63.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

15Wins6
2.6Sets on average1.2

Head-to-head matches: 22 · draws: 1 · average total 3.7 (sets)

Team form

Serbia
5-5WWLWLLLWWL
sets for 2.1sets against 1.9
Bulgaria
7-3WWLWWLWLWW
sets for 2.3sets against 1.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 22.05.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Serbia - Bulgaria

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.45 Fonbet · line only
1 2.55 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 145.5 1.32 Fonbet · line only
Over 167.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.80 55.6%
2.05 48.8%
1.95 51.3%
1.90 52.6%
2.03 49.3%
1.90 52.6%
1.95 51.3%
2.00 50.0%
2.07 48.3%
1.90 52.6%
2.20 45.5%
2.85 35.1%
2.03 49.3%
2.13 47.0%
1.87 53.5%
1.45 69.0%
1.55 64.5%
1.80 55.6%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Fonbet
2.55 39.2%
1.45 69.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 145.5 1.32 75.8%
Over 167.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 173.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 179.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 180.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 181.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 182.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 183.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 184.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 185.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 186.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 187.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 188.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 189.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 190.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 191.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 192.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 193.5 2.13 47.0%
Match center
Serbia
W
20.05 13:00 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Serbia 3:2 PolandPoland
1 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySerbia - Bulgaria

Serbia
0 matches total
Bulgaria
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history