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Nations league. Japan
Nations league. Japan
23.05.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction
23.05.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

Nations league. Japan

Serbia - Bulgaria

Volleyball
Serbia
Serbia
1 : 3
24:26 25:12 16:25 19:25
Finished
Bulgaria
Bulgaria

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Serbia - Bulgaria May 23, 2026

Volleyball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Serbia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.12 / 2 5.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 82.6%
2 17.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Serbia
5-5WWLWLLLWWL
sets for 2.1sets against 1.9
Bulgaria
4-6LLWLLLWLWW
sets for 1.5sets against 2.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 23.05.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Serbia - Bulgaria

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 4.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 144.5 1.32 Fonbet · line only
Over 145.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
4.00 25.0%
2.45 40.8%
1.80 55.6%
1.94 51.6%
1.77 56.5%
2.00 50.0%
2.03 49.3%
2.05 48.8%
1.90 52.6%
2.00 50.0%
1.87 53.5%
1.80 55.6%
2.05 48.8%
2.10 47.6%
2.05 48.8%
1.67 59.9%
1.87 53.5%
1.45 69.0%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Fonbet
1.12 89.3%
5.30 18.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 144.5 1.32 75.8%
Over 145.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 146.5 1.33 75.2%
Over 147.5 1.33 75.2%
Over 172.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 173.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 174.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 175.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 176.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 177.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 178.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 179.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 180.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 181.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 182.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 183.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 184.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 186.5 1.65 60.6%
Match center
Serbia
L W
22.05 13:00 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Serbia 2:3 BulgariaBulgaria
20.05 13:00 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Serbia 3:2 PolandPoland
1 Wins
1 Losses
2.5 Scored
2.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Bulgaria
L
22.05 16:00 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Bulgaria 1:3 PolandPoland
0 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySerbia - Bulgaria

Serbia
0 matches total
Bulgaria
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history