Nations League. China. Quarterfinals
Belgium (w) face Hungary (w) on August 3, 2026 in the Nations League. China. Quarterfinals.
Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Belgium (w) — 83%
Pure model vs market (1 · Belgium (w)): model 50% · market 87% Δ −37 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Belgium (w) 83.3%, win Hungary (w) 16.7%. Model favourite — Belgium (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.06 94.3% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.06 94.3% | |
| 7.00 14.3% | 8.50 11.8% | 7.10 14.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 142.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 142.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
Full head-to-head historyBelgium (w) - Hungary (w)
The Belgium (w) - Hungary (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
