Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

Nations league. Serbia

Preliminary round 16.07.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction

16.07.2026 16:00 UTC Preliminary round

Finished

Nations league. Serbia

Serbia - Bulgaria

Volleyball

Stadium Belgrade Arena (Belgrade, Serbia), 2 200 zriteley (12% pri vmestimosti 18 386)

Referee Kennet Aro (Finland)

Serbia

2 : 1

Finished

Bulgaria

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Bulgaria — 68%

Pure model vs market (2 · Bulgaria): model 53% · market 42% Δ +11 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Serbia32.1%

market58%

2 · Bulgaria ✓ Pick67.9%

market42%

Model estimate: win Serbia 32.1%, win Bulgaria 67.9%. Model favourite — Bulgaria.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Serbia (odds1.61) Score 3:1 confidence 62% ✓ outcome correct

• Serbia: forma PVVPV (3-2)
• Ukraine: forma VPVVP (3-2)
• ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
• Model backs Serbia: probability 62% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.61)
• no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Serbia - Bulgaria July 16, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Serbia.

Line favourite Fonbet: Serbia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.64 / 2 2.26
Glicko: Serbia 32.1% / Bulgaria 67.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 5.2%

1 57.9%

2 ✓ Pick 42.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 3.25 ↓ 1.64

Winner 2 1.28 ↑ 2.26

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Serbia

#96 ptsGP 32-1

Bulgaria

#76 ptsGP 32-1

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Serbia

5-5WWLWLLLWWL

sets for 2.1sets against 1.9

Bulgaria

4-6LLWLLLWLWW

sets for 1.5sets against 2.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:3/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated16.07.2026 17:24 UTC

1 30%

2 70% ✓ favourite

Score1:3 Total points: Under 182.5 Bet:2 with handicap po setam (-1.5)

Per AI data Form:L,L,W,L,L / W,W,W,L,W

Claude updated16.07.2026 17:30 UTC

1 30%

2 70% ✓ favourite

Score1:3 (win Ukrainy 3:1) Total points: Under 184.5 ochkov Bet:2 (win Ukrainy); tsennost — fora Ukraine −1.5 sets

Qwen updated16.07.2026 17:27 UTC

1 29%

2 71% ✓ favourite

Score1:3 Total points: Over 182.5 Bet:Win Ukrainy (2)

AI consensus:2

AI	1	2	Score	Total points	Bet
Google AI	30%	70%	1:3	Under 182.5
Claude	30%	70%	1:3 (win Ukrainy 3:1)	Under 184.5 ochkov
Qwen	29%	71%	1:3	Over 182.5	Win Ukrainy (2)

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Stadium Belgrad Arena (Belgrad, Serbia), 2 200 zriteley (12% pri vmestimosti 18 386)

Referee Kennet Aro (Finland)

Start 16.07.2026 16:00 UTC

Stage Predvaritelnyy etap

Form 10 matches

H2H 4

🥊 Humans vs Machines

🤖 7 AI models Bulgaria 70%

📐 Math model Bulgaria 68%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Serbia - Bulgaria

Volleyball, Serbia - Ukraine, 16 iyulya 2026: Highlights matches, schet 3 : 1, statistika and rezultaty, video golov. Nations League (m) 2026, Preliminary round. Vo skolko nachalo matches Serbia - Ukraine, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 4 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Championat match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Lineup / squad Referees

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 2:1

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Serbia 30.4% 32.1%

Bulgaria 69.6% 67.9% market and model agree

1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model

P1 / P2 32.1% / 67.9% probabilities

Rating 1,482 / 1,571 Serbia / Bulgaria

RD 146 / 150 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,191-1,774 / 1,271-1,870 strength interval

HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.26 Fonbet · weak value +53.5% · model 67.9%

1 1.64 Fonbet · no value · model 32.1%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 139.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Over 140.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
1.92 52.1%	1.90 52.6%	—
1.80 55.6%	—	—
—	—	2.15 46.5%
—	—	1.90 52.6%
—	—	2.25 44.4%
—	—	1.85 54.1%
—	—	2.03 49.3%
—	—	2.30 43.5%
—	—	2.04 49.0%
—	—	1.90 52.6%
—	—	2.00 50.0%
—	—	2.20 45.5%
1.81 55.3%	1.80 55.6%	2.12 47.2%
1.93 51.8%	—	2.30 43.5%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
	3.07 32.6%	3.00 33.3%	1.64 61.0%	3.22 31.1%
	1.33 75.2%	1.32 75.8%	2.26 44.3%	1.32 75.8%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 139.5	—	—	1.67 59.9%
Over 140.5	—	—	1.85 54.1%
Over 141.5	—	—	1.35 74.1%
Over 142.5	—	—	1.35 74.1%
Over 179.5	1.87 53.5%	—	—
Over 180.5	1.90 52.6%	1.88 53.2%	—
Over 181.5	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	—
Over 182.5	1.86 53.8%	1.87 53.5%	—
Under 179.5	1.83 54.6%	—	—
Under 180.5	1.83 54.6%	1.82 55.0%	—
Under 181.5	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	—
Under 182.5	1.87 53.5%	1.83 54.6%	—

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 3-0-0

2026-07-16 · Serbia 3:1 Ukraine

2025-07-18 · Serbia 3:0 Ukraine

2021-09-03 · Serbia 3:0 Ukraine

Source: ruscore

Serbia

L W W L W

15.07 16:00 UTC World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

Serbia 0:3 Turkey

26.06 16:30 UTC World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

Serbia 3:1 Cuba

14.06 15:30 UTC World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

Serbia 3:0 Bulgaria

13.06 12:00 UTC World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

Serbia 0:3 Brazil

12.06 17:30 UTC World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

Serbia 3:1 Belgium

3 Wins

2 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.6 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Bulgaria

W L W W L

15.07 12:30 UTC World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

Bulgaria 3:1 Iran

14.06 03:00 UTC World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

Bulgaria 2:3 Poland

12.06 06:30 UTC World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

Bulgaria 3:0 Cuba

11.06 06:30 UTC World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

Bulgaria 3:1 China

10.06 10:00 UTC World: Voleybolnaya Nations League

Bulgaria 0:3 Japan

3 Wins

2 Losses

2.2 Scored

1.6 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historySerbia - Bulgaria

Serbia

0 matches total

Bulgaria

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event

2025 Nations League (m) Ukraine 0 : 3 Serbia Predvaritelnyy etap 27.08.

Event

2022 (m) Ukraine 0 : 3 Serbia Group A. 1-y Round 03.09.

Event

2021 (m) Ukraine 0 : 3 Serbia Group A. 2-y Round 24.09.

Event

2019 (m) Serbia 3 : 2 Ukraine 1/4 finala ; ;

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Serbia

Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Bulgaria

9 Games 9

4 Wins 6

5 Losses 3

14 Vyigrano partiy 21

18 Proigrano partiy 13

12 Points 19

9 Games 9

4 Wins 6

5 Losses 3

14 Vyigrano partiy 21

18 Proigrano partiy 13

12 Points 19

Serbia Ukraine 9 Games 9 4 Wins 6 5 Losses 3 14 Vyigrano partiy 21 18 Proigrano partiy 13 12 Points 19