AI verdict

AI pick Canada win probability ~61% confidence High

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Canada. Full breakdown below.

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America: World Championship - Qualification - Second Krug
America: World Championship - Qualification - Second Krug
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
28.08.2026 01:40 UTC
Finished

America: World Championship - Qualification - Second Krug

Panama vs Canada — Basketball prediction

Basketball
Panama
Panama
51 : 59
Finished
Canada
Canada

Panama face Canada on August 28, 2026 in the America: World Championship - Qualification - Second Krug.

Recent form (W-D-L): Panama 2-0-3, Canada 5-0-0. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 39% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Canada61%

1 · Panama39.0%
2 · Canada ✓ Pick61.0%

Model estimate: win Panama 39.0%, win Canada 61.0%. Model favourite — Canada.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Panama - Canada August 28, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Panama 39.0% / Canada 61.0%
%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Total
Over 177
50%
1.86
Under 177
50%
1.89

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Panama
#61 ptsGP 10-1
Canada
#12 ptsGP 11-0

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

1Wins5
65.3Points on average101.0

Head-to-head matches: 6 · average total 166.3 (points)

Team form

Panama
2-8LLLLLWLWLL
points for 70.2points against 88.0
Canada
8-2WLLWWWWWWW
points for 96.2points against 78.6

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 28.08.2026 01:40 UTC
Form 5 matches
Match center

Panama - Canada

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 51:59
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form, table away - 61.0% fact: away hit / Brier 0.304 / LogLoss 0.494
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form, table away - 54.4% fact: away hit / Brier 0.416 / LogLoss 0.609
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Panama - 39.0%
Canada - 61.0% model pick

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 39.0% / 61.0% probabilities
Rating 1,303 / 1,809 Panama / Canada
RD 178 / 286 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 948-1,658 / 1,238-2,380 strength interval

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
Total
Over 145.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Over 146.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.84 54.4%
1.84 54.4%
1.79 55.9%
1.84 54.4%
1.84 54.4%
1.84 54.4%
1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6%
1.84 54.4% 1.81 55.3%
1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6%
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
1.84 54.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 145.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 146.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 147.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 148.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 149.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 150.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 151.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 152.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 175.5 1.84 54.4%
Over 176.5 1.81 55.3% 1.85 54.1%
Over 177.5 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6%
Under 175.5 1.84 54.4%
Under 176.5 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%
Under 177.5 1.86 53.8% 1.87 53.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-5
2026-08-28 · Panama 66:86 Canada
2025-08-24 · Panama 49:99 Canada
2022-11-14 · Panama 71:112 Canada
2022-08-30 · Panama 50:106 Canada
2015-09-06 · Panama 66:103 Canada
Source: ruscore
Panama
L W L W L
2026-07-06 FIBA World Cup 2027, Americas Qualifiers, Group D
Panama Panama 71:96 Argentina
2026-07-03 FIBA World Cup 2027, Americas Qualifiers, Group D
Panama Panama 83:70 Cuba
2026-03-02 FIBA World Cup 2027, Americas Qualifiers, Group D
Panama Argentina 101:75 Panama
2026-02-28 FIBA World Cup 2027, Americas Qualifiers, Group D
Panama Cuba 81:84 Panama
2025-12-01 FIBA World Cup 2027, Americas Qualifiers, Group D
Panama Uruguay 84:82 Panama
2 Wins
3 Losses
79.0 Scored
86.4 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Canada
W W W W W
2026-07-06 FIBA World Cup 2027, Americas Qualifiers, Group B
Canada 116:78 Jamaica Canada
2026-07-03 FIBA World Cup 2027, Americas Qualifiers, Group B
Canada 110:84 Puerto Rico Canada
2026-03-01 FIBA World Cup 2027, Americas Qualifiers, Group B
Jamaica 81:97 Canada Canada
2026-02-27 FIBA World Cup 2027, Americas Qualifiers, Group B
Puerto Rico 85:96 Canada Canada
2025-12-02 FIBA World Cup 2027, Americas Qualifiers, Group B
Canada 94:88 Bahamas Canada
5 Wins
0 Losses
102.6 Scored
83.2 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Panama - Canada

Panama
3 matches total
Canada
Panama: 0 (0%)
Canada: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Canada 50:106 (2022-08-30) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 183 points (112:71, 2022-11-14) most points in a game

Match history

2025-08-24 World Cup Qualification, Americas 2026
Canada 99:49 Panama
2022-11-14 World Cup Qualification, Americas 2026
Canada 112:71 Panama
2022-08-30 World Cup Qualification, Americas 2026
Panama 50:106 Canada

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Panama vs Canada?

By the PropickAI model, Canada is favoured — about 61% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Panama vs Canada?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Canada. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Panama vs Canada?

Live odds for Panama vs Canada from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Panama vs Canada start?

August 28, 2026.