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Argentina. Torneo Federal. Quarter-finals. Best of 3
Argentina. Torneo Federal. Quarter-finals. Best of 3 International
28.07.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction
28.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

Argentina. Torneo Federal. Quarter-finals. Best of 3

Regatas de San Nicolas - All Boys de La Pampa

International Basketball
Regatas de San Nicolas
Regatas de San Nicolas
47 : 62
Finished
All Boys de La Pampa
All Boys de La Pampa
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Regatas de San Nicolas — 58%

Pure model vs market (1 · Regatas de San Nicolas): model 51% · market 62% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Regatas de San Nicolas ✓ Pick58.0%
market62%
2 · All Boys de La Pampa42.0%
market38%

Model estimate: win Regatas de San Nicolas 58.0%, win All Boys de La Pampa 42.0%. Model favourite — Regatas de San Nicolas.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Regatas de San Nicolas - All Boys de La Pampa July 28, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Regatas de San Nicolas.

Line favourite Fonbet: Regatas de San Nicolas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.50 / 2 2.42
  • Glicko: Regatas de San Nicolas 58.0% / All Boys de La Pampa 42.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 ✓ Pick 61.7%
2 38.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.11 ↑ 1.50
Winner 2 5.50 ↓ 2.42

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated28.07.2026 01:51 UTC
1 82% ✓ favourite
2 18%
Score81:67 Total points: Under 153.5 Bet:Handicap 1 (-10.5)
AI 1 2 Score Total points Bet
Google AI 82% 18% 81:67 Under 153.5 Handicap 1 (-10.5)

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Form 2 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Regatas de San Nicolas 82%
📐 Math model Regatas de San Nicolas 58%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Regatas de San Nicolas - All Boys de La Pampa

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 47:62
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 56.7% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.644 / LogLoss 0.838
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 52.7% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.555 / LogLoss 0.748
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Regatas de San Nicolas 58.5% 58.0% market and model agree
All Boys de La Pampa 41.5% 42.0%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 58.0% / 42.0% probabilities
Rating 1,781 / 1,500 Regatas de San Nicolas / All Boys de La Pampa
RD 280 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,221-2,341 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.42 Fonbet · no value · model 42.0%
1 1.50 Fonbet · no value · model 58.0%
Total
Over 106.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Over 107.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.79 55.9% — —
1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% — —
1.88 53.2% — —
1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1% —
1.82 55.0% — —
— — 1.80 55.6%
— — 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.65 60.6%
— — 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.55 64.5%
— — 1.67 59.9%
— — 1.58 63.3%
— — 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 106.5 — — 1.53 65.4%
Over 107.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 108.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Over 109.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 110.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 111.5 — — 1.87 53.5%
Over 112.5 — — 2.55 39.2%
Over 113.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Over 114.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
Over 115.5 — — 1.93 51.8%
Over 116.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 117.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Over 152.5 1.82 55.0% — —
Over 153.5 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% —
Under 152.5 1.85 54.1% — —
Under 153.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.69 59.2% 1.07 93.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.67 59.9%
2.00 50.0% 6.80 14.7% 2.42 41.3% 2.07 48.3%
Match center
Regatas de San Nicolas
W L
18.07 00:00 UTC Argentina. Torneo Federal
Regatas de San Nicolas 71:63 Belgrano-de-San-Nikolas
13.07 00:00 UTC Argentina. Torneo Federal
Regatas de San Nicolas 91:95 Belgrano-de-San-Nikolas
1 Wins
1 Losses
81.0 Scored
79.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
All Boys de La Pampa
W L
18.07 00:00 UTC+0 Argentina. Torneo Federal
All Boys de La Pampa 71:63 Belgrano-de-San-Nikolas
13.07 00:00 UTC+0 Argentina. Torneo Federal
All Boys de La Pampa 91:95 Belgrano-de-San-Nikolas
1 Wins
1 Losses
81.0 Scored
79.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage