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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
04.07.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Lakeside Lightning (w) - Goldfields Giants (w)

Basketball
Lakeside Lightning (w)
Lakeside Lightning (w)
81 : 70
Finished
Goldfields Giants (w)
Goldfields Giants (w)
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Lakeside Lightning (w) — 57%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lakeside Lightning (w) - Goldfields Giants (w) July 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Lakeside Lightning (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.32 / 2 3.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 70.1%
2 29.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

0Wins3
0.0%Win %100.0%
76.7Points per game83.7
98.5Offensive rating123.4
107.5Defensive rating113.1
-7.0Point differential7.0
58.0Assists57.0
107.0Rebounds128.0
36.7%3-pointers, %30.7%

Team form

Lakeside Lightning (w)
Overall LLWWW Net -10.1
Home LWL Net -22.8
Away LWW
Goldfields Giants (w)
Overall WLWLL Net -16.1
Home WLL Net -18.7
Away LWL Net -12.9

Team stats

Lakeside Lightning (w) Overall · Home/Away Goldfields Giants (w)
38.9%H 25.0% · A 50.0%Win %31.3%H 33.3% · A 28.6%
-10.1H -22.8 · A 0.0Point differential-16.1H -18.7 · A -12.9
85.3H 83.6 · A 86.6Points per game85.7H 81.1 · A 91.6
90.3H 95.0 · A 86.6Conceded93.8H 90.4 · A 98.0
44.2%H 42.6% · A 45.5%FG, %46.9%H 48.1% · A 45.3%
50.0H 37.5 · A 60.01st half37.5H 33.3 · A 42.9
80.5H 80.3 · A 80.7Pace77.8H 73.8 · A 83.0
105.9H 106.7 · A 105.4Offensive rating110.3H 116.1 · A 103.7
112.2H 113.0 · A 111.6Defensive rating120.7H 127.0 · A 113.5

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Lakeside Lightning (w) Total (over) Goldfields Giants (w)
85.3 Points per game 85.7
61.1%
O 81.5
56.3%
55.6%
O 82.5
43.8%
55.6%
O 83.5
43.8%
55.6%
O 84.5
43.8%
50.0%
O 85.5srednee
37.5%
50.0%
O 86.5
37.5%
44.4%
O 87.5
31.3%
44.4%
O 88.5
31.3%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Lakeside Lightning (w) Total (over) Goldfields Giants (w)
0.0%
O 101.5
25.0%
0.0%
O 102.5
25.0%
0.0%
O 103.5
18.8%
0.0%
O 104.5
12.5%
0.0%
O 105.5
12.5%
0.0%
O 106.5
12.5%
0.0%
O 107.5
6.3%
0.0%
O 108.5
6.3%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Lakeside Lightning (w) 45.8 / Goldfields Giants (w) 44.6

Lakeside Lightning (w) Total (over) Goldfields Giants (w)
61.1%
O 43.5
56.3%
61.1%
O 44.5
43.8%
55.6%
O 45.5srednee
43.8%
50.0%
O 46.5
31.3%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Lakeside Lightning (w) — / Goldfields Giants (w) 40.4

Lakeside Lightning (w) Total (over) Goldfields Giants (w)
38.9%
O 40.5srednee
56.3%
22.2%
O 41.5
50.0%
22.2%
O 42.5
43.8%
11.1%
O 43.5
43.8%

Clubs and venues

Team reference

Lakeside Lightning (w)
  • North Lake
  • Founded in 2000
Goldfields Giants (w)
  • Kalgurli
  • Founded in 1990

Reference data on clubs and venues: Wikidata.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Match center

Lakeside Lightning (w) - Goldfields Giants (w)

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.10 Fonbet · line only
1 1.32 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.90 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 159.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Over 160.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.80 55.6% —
— 1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6% —
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% —
1.90 52.6% —
1.90 52.6% —
— 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% —
— 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% —
1.80 55.6% —
1.80 55.6% —
1.80 55.6% —
1.80 55.6% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 79.5 1.80 55.6% —
Over 80.5 1.80 55.6% —
Over 81.5 1.80 55.6% —
Over 82.5 1.80 55.6% —
Over 83.5 1.80 55.6% —
Over 159.5 1.82 55.0% —
Over 160.5 1.85 54.1% —
Over 161.5 1.85 54.1% —
Over 174.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Under 79.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 80.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 81.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 82.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 83.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 159.5 1.88 53.2% —
Under 160.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 161.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 174.5 — 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.32 75.8% 1.71 58.5%
3.10 32.3% 2.19 45.7%
Match center
Lakeside Lightning (w)
L W L
13.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Lakeside Lightning (w) 68:84 Perth RedbacksPerth Redbacks
12.06 08:20 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Lakeside Lightning (w) 81:74 Willetton TigersWilletton Tigers
06.06 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Lakeside Lightning (w) 63:93 Mandurah Magic (Zh)Mandurah Magic (Zh)
1 Wins
2 Losses
70.7 Scored
83.7 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Goldfields Giants (w)
L L W
13.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Goldfields Giants (w) 67:78 Warwick Senators (Zh)Warwick Senators (Zh)
06.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Goldfields Giants (w) 77:87 Cockburn Cougars (Zh)Cockburn Cougars (Zh)
31.05 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Goldfields Giants (w) 95:88 Willetton TigersWilletton Tigers
1 Wins
2 Losses
79.7 Scored
84.3 Conceded
33% Win percentage