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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1 International
24.07.2026 10:30 UTC Match prediction
24.07.2026 10:30 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Joondalup Wolves (w) - Mandurah Magic (w)

International Basketball
Joondalup Wolves (w)
Joondalup Wolves (w)
111 : 101
Finished
Mandurah Magic (w)
Mandurah Magic (w)
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

2Mandurah Magic (w) — 70%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

💎 «Value»

1Joondalup Wolves (w) — odds 3.90 · edge +4.6% · 4 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Mandurah Magic (w) (odds1.31) Score 77:83 Under 165.5 (odds1.88) ✓ Handicap H1 +7.5 (odds1.85) ✗ confidence 70% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Dzhundalup Vulvz (zh): forma P (0-1)
  • • Mandzhera Medzhik (zh): forma PV (1)
  • • Model backs Mandzhera Medzhik (zh): probability 70% vs 76% on the line (odds 1.31)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Under 165.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 165.5 (odds 1.88)
  • • Handicap F1 +7.5: score forecast 77:83 (diff -6) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Joondalup Wolves (w) - Mandurah Magic (w) July 24, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Joondalup Wolves (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 9.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.5%
1 90.4%
2 9.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.07.2026 10:30 UTC
Match center

Joondalup Wolves (w) - Mandurah Magic (w)

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 70.5% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.994 / LogLoss 1.220
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 58.2% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.677 / LogLoss 0.872
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 158.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Over 159.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% —
— — 2.45 40.8%
— — 1.65 60.6%
— — 1.55 64.5%
— — 1.45 69.0%
— — 1.50 66.7%
— — 1.53 65.4%
— — 1.55 64.5%
— — 1.48 67.6%
— — 1.47 68.0%
— — 1.53 65.4%
— — 1.45 69.0%
— — 2.15 46.5%
— — 2.35 42.6%
— — 2.20 45.5%
1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 158.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 159.5 — — 1.82 55.0%
Over 160.5 — — 1.78 56.2%
Over 161.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 162.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Over 163.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Over 164.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
Over 165.5 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.93 51.8%
Over 166.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 167.5 — — 2.45 40.8%
Over 168.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
Over 169.5 — — 2.00 50.0%
Over 170.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 171.5 — — 1.83 54.6%
Under 165.5 1.86 53.8% 1.88 53.2% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 1.01 99.0% 3.80 26.3%
1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9% 9.50 10.5% 1.29 77.5%
Match center
Joondalup Wolves (w)
L
11.07 09:00 UTC Australia. Women. NBL 1
Joondalup Wolves (w) 69:97 Rokingem Fleyms (zh)
0 Wins
1 Losses
69.0 Scored
97.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Mandurah Magic (w)
L W
17.07 10:20 UTC Australia. Women. NBL 1
Mandurah Magic (w) 102:104 Pert Redbeks (zh)
10.07 10:30 UTC Australia. Women. NBL 1
Mandurah Magic (w) 101:98 Uilletton Taygers (zh)
1 Wins
1 Losses
101.5 Scored
101.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage