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Brazil: LBF - Women - Playoff
Brazil: LBF - Women - Playoff
27.07.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction
27.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil: LBF - Women - Playoff

Sampaio (w) - Campinas (w)

Basketball
Sampaio (w)
Sampaio (w)
65 : 54
Finished
Campinas (w)
Campinas (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Sampaio (w) — 60%

1 · Sampaio (w) ✓ Pick60.1%
market83%
2 · Campinas (w)39.9%
market17%

Model estimate: win Sampaio (w) 60.1%, win Campinas (w) 39.9%. Model favourite — Sampaio (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sampaio (w) (odds1.30) Score 81:79 confidence 55% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Sampayo (Zh): forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • • Vera-Kruz (Zh): forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Sampayo (Zh): probability 55% vs 77% on the line (odds 1.30)
  • • no edge over the line (-22 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sampaio (w) - Campinas (w) July 27, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sampaio (w).

Line favourite market consensus: Sampaio (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.11 / 2 5.50
  • Glicko: Sampaio (w) 60.1% / Campinas (w) 39.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 ✓ Pick 83.2%
2 16.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 2
Match center

Sampaio (w) - Campinas (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 2 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 65:54
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 60.1% fact: home hit / ROI 11.0% / Brier 0.318 / LogLoss 0.509
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 54.0% fact: home hit / ROI 11.0% / Brier 0.422 / LogLoss 0.615
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sampaio (w) 83.2% 60.1% market and model agree
Campinas (w) 16.8% 39.9%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 60.1% / 39.9% probabilities
Rating 2,146 / 1,877 Sampaio (w) / Campinas (w)
RD 157 / 195 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,831-2,461 / 1,487-2,267 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.50 market consensus · no value · model 39.9%
1 1.11 market consensus · no value · model 60.1%
Total
Over 132.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Over 133.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 132.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 133.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 135.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 136.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 132.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 133.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 135.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 136.5 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
1.11 90.1%
5.50 18.2%
Match center
Sampaio (w)
W W L W
25.07 12:00 UTC Brazil: LBF - Women - Playoff
Sampaio (w) 65:54 Vera-Kruz (Zh)Vera-Kruz (Zh)
20.07 22:00 UTC Brazil: LBF - Women - Playoff
Sampaio (w) 61:46 Serradu (Zh)Serradu (Zh)
18.07 12:00 UTC Brazil: LBF - Women - Playoff
Sampaio (w) 62:73 Serradu (Zh)Serradu (Zh)
12.07 12:00 UTC Brazil: LBF - Women - Playoff
Sampaio (w) 75:62 Serradu (Zh)Serradu (Zh)
3 Wins
1 Losses
65.8 Scored
58.8 Conceded
75% Win percentage
Campinas (w)
L W W
25.07 12:00 UTC Brazil: LBF - Women - Playoff
Campinas (w) 54:65 Sampayo (Zh)Sampayo (Zh)
17.07 20:30 UTC Brazil: LBF - Women - Playoff
Campinas (w) 70:67 SESI Araraquara (Zh)SESI Araraquara (Zh)
11.07 12:00 UTC Brazil: LBF - Women - Playoff
Campinas (w) 79:77 SESI Araraquara (Zh)SESI Araraquara (Zh)
2 Wins
1 Losses
67.7 Scored
69.7 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySampaio (w) - Campinas (w)

Sampaio (w)
1 matches total
Campinas (w)
Sampaio (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Campinas (w): 1 (100%)
Biggest win Sampayo (Zh) 65:54 (25.07 12:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 119 goals (65:54, 25.07 12:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

25.07 12:00 UTC Brazil: LBF - Women - Playoff
Sampayo (Zh)
65:54
Vera-Kruz (Zh)