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Brazil. U22. Championship
Brazil. U22. Championship International
28.07.2026 12:30 UTC Match prediction
28.07.2026 12:30 UTC
Finished

Brazil. U22. Championship

Campo Mourao U22 - Bauru U22

International Basketball
Campo Mourao U22
Campo Mourao U22
75 : 98
Finished
Bauru U22
Bauru U22
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Campo Mourao U22 — 67%

Pure model vs market (1 · Campo Mourao U22): model 50% · market 92% Δ −42 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Campo Mourao U22 ✓ Pick66.6%
market92%
2 · Bauru U2233.4%
market8%

Model estimate: win Campo Mourao U22 66.6%, win Bauru U22 33.4%. Model favourite — Campo Mourao U22.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Campo Mourao U22 (odds1.28) Score 81:79 Over 148.5 (odds1.85) ✗ Handicap H2 +3.5 (odds1.85) ✓ confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Kampu-Moran U22: probability 50% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.28)
  • • no edge over the line (-28 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Over 148.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 148.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F2 +3.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Campo Mourao U22 - Bauru U22 July 28, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Campo Mourao U22.

Line favourite Fonbet: Campo Mourao U22. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00
  • Glicko: Campo Mourao U22 66.6% / Bauru U22 33.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 ✓ Pick 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.17 ↑ 1.35
Winner 2 4.40 ↓ 2.95

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 12:30 UTC
Match center

Campo Mourao U22 - Bauru U22

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Overview Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 75:98
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Campo Mourao U22 67.8% 66.6% market and model agree
Bauru U22 32.2% 33.4%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 66.6% / 33.4% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Campo Mourao U22 / Bauru U22
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.80 market consensus · no value · model 33.4%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 66.6%
Total
Over 131.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Over 132.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.85 54.1%
1.92 52.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.82 55.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.77 56.5%
1.85 54.1%
1.87 53.5%
1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%
2.00 50.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 131.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 132.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 134.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 135.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 136.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 137.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 138.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 139.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 140.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 142.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 143.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 144.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 145.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 146.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 147.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 148.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 149.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 150.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.01 99.0% 1.38 72.5%
11.00 9.1% 2.80 35.7%