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Brazil. U22. Championship
Brazil. U22. Championship International
31.07.2026 14:45 UTC Match prediction
31.07.2026 14:45 UTC
Finished

Brazil. U22. Championship

International

Rio Claro U22 - Mogi U22

International Basketball
Rio Claro U22
Rio Claro U22
58 : 68
Finished
Mogi U22
Mogi U22

Rio Claro U22 meet Mogi U22 on July 31, 2026 in the Brazil. U22. Championship, International.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 36% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Mogi U22 — 64%

Pure model vs market (2 · Mogi U22): model 48% · market 86% Δ −38 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Rio Claro U2236.0%
market14%
2 · Mogi U22 ✓ Pick64.0%
market86%

Model estimate: win Rio Claro U22 36.0%, win Mogi U22 64.0%. Model favourite — Mogi U22.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Mogi U22 (odds1.57) Score 79:81 Over 146.5 (odds1.85) ✗ Handicap H1 +3.5 (odds1.85) ✓ confidence 58% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Korintians Paulista U22: forma P (0-1)
  • • Model backs Korintians Paulista U22: probability 58% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.57)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Over 146.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 146.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F1 +3.5: score forecast 79:81 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rio Claro U22 - Mogi U22 July 31, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mogi U22.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mogi U22. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.30 / 2 1.05
  • Glicko: Rio Claro U22 36.0% / Mogi U22 64.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 11.1%
1 14.3%
2 ✓ Pick 85.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.25 ↑ 3.20
Winner 2 1.57 ↓ 1.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 14:45 UTC
Market 1 14.3% @ 6.30 / 2 85.7% @ 1.05
Form 1 matches
Match center

Rio Claro U22 - Mogi U22

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 58:68
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 64.0% fact: away hit / ROI 56.0% / Brier 0.259 / LogLoss 0.446
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 55.6% fact: away hit / ROI 56.0% / Brier 0.394 / LogLoss 0.587
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Rio Claro U22 34.8% 36.0%
Mogi U22 65.2% 64.0% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 36.0% / 64.0% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,161 Rio Claro U22 / Mogi U22
RD 350 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 579-1,743 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 64.0%
1 6.30 Fonbet · no value · model 36.0%
Total
Over 146.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 148.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.95 51.3%
1.95 51.3%
1.95 51.3%
1.68 59.5%
1.83 54.6%
1.82 55.0%
1.68 59.5%
1.77 56.5%
2.00 50.0%
1.68 59.5%
1.70 58.8%
1.70 58.8%
1.68 59.5%
1.82 55.0%
1.75 57.1%
1.68 59.5%
1.67 59.9%
1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 146.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 148.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 149.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 150.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 151.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 152.5 1.97 50.8%
Over 153.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 154.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 155.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 156.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 157.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 159.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 146.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 148.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 149.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 150.5 1.70 58.8%
Under 151.5 1.88 53.2%
Under 152.5 1.65 60.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
6.30 15.9% 2.27 44.1%
1.05 95.2% 1.56 64.1%
Match center
Rio Claro U22
L
27.07 14:45 UTC+0 Brazil. Do 22 let. Championship
Rio Claro U22 66:95 Osasko U22
0 Wins
1 Losses
66.0 Scored
95.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Mogi U22
L
27.07 14:45 UTC Brazil. Do 22 let. Championship
Mogi U22 66:95 Osasko U22
0 Wins
1 Losses
66.0 Scored
95.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRio Claro U22 - Mogi U22

Rio Claro U22
0 matches total
Mogi U22
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history