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Brazil. Women. LBF
Brazil. Women. LBF International
25.07.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
25.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Women. LBF

Sampaio (w) - Campinas (w)

International Basketball
Sampaio (w)
Sampaio (w)
65 : 54
Finished
Campinas (w)
Campinas (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Sampaio (w) — 76%

1 · Sampaio (w) ✓ Pick76.2%
market92%
2 · Campinas (w)23.8%
market8%

Model estimate: win Sampaio (w) 76.2%, win Campinas (w) 23.8%. Model favourite — Sampaio (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sampaio (w) (odds1.30) Score 83:77 Over 135.5 (odds1.96) ✗ Handicap H2 +7.5 (odds1.85) ✓ confidence 70% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Sampayo (zh): forma VP (1)
  • • Kampinas (zh): forma VV (2-0)
  • • Model backs Sampayo (zh): probability 70% vs 77% on the line (odds 1.30)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Over 135.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 135.5 (odds 1.96)
  • • Handicap F2 +7.5: score forecast 83:77 (diff +6) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sampaio (w) - Campinas (w) July 25, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sampaio (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Sampaio (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00
  • Glicko: Sampaio (w) 76.2% / Campinas (w) 23.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 ✓ Pick 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.30 ↓ 1.15
Winner 2 3.20 ↑ 4.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Form 4 matches
Match center

Sampaio (w) - Campinas (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 65:54
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 76.2% fact: home hit / ROI 22.0% / Brier 0.113 / LogLoss 0.272
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 60.5% fact: home hit / ROI 22.0% / Brier 0.312 / LogLoss 0.503
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 60.5% fact: home hit / ROI 22.0% / Brier 0.312 / LogLoss 0.503
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 60.5% fact: home hit / ROI 22.0% / Brier 0.312 / LogLoss 0.503
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sampaio (w) 78.2% 76.2% market and model agree
Campinas (w) 21.8% 23.8%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 76.2% / 23.8% probabilities
Rating 1,679 / 1,745 Sampaio (w) / Campinas (w)
RD 276 / 270 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,127-2,231 / 1,205-2,286 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.86 market consensus · no value · model 23.8%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 76.2%
Total
Over 113.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Over 115.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.03 49.3%
2.20 45.5%
2.23 44.8%
2.05 48.8%
2.20 45.5%
2.15 46.5%
1.95 51.3%
2.10 47.6%
1.94 51.6%
2.30 43.5%
1.63 61.4%
1.87 53.5%
1.77 56.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.48 67.6%
1.95 51.3%
1.75 57.1%
1.48 67.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 113.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 115.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 116.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 117.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 118.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 119.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 120.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 121.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 122.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 123.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 124.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 125.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 126.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 127.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 128.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 129.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 130.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 131.5 2.10 47.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.01 99.0% 1.22 82.0%
11.00 9.1% 3.86 25.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 8-0-2
2026-07-25 · Sampayo (Zh) 65:54 Kampinas Basket (Zh)
2026-05-20 · Sampayo (Zh) 68:79 Kampinas Basket (Zh)
2026-04-08 · Sampayo (Zh) 68:57 Kampinas Basket (Zh)
2025-05-22 · Sampayo (Zh) 60:56 Kampinas Basket (Zh)
2025-03-17 · Sampayo (Zh) 94:72 Kampinas Basket (Zh)
Source: ruscore
Sampaio (w)
W L
21.07 00:00 UTC Brazil. Women. LBF
Sampaio (w) 61:46 Serrado (zh)
18.07 14:00 UTC Brazil. Women. LBF
Sampaio (w) 62:73 Serrado (zh)
1 Wins
1 Losses
61.5 Scored
59.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Campinas (w)
W W
17.07 22:30 UTC Brazil. Women. LBF
Campinas (w) 70:67 Ararakuara (zh)Ararakuara (zh)
11.07 14:00 UTC Brazil. Women. LBF
Campinas (w) 79:77 Ararakuara (zh)Ararakuara (zh)
2 Wins
0 Losses
74.5 Scored
72.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySampaio (w) - Campinas (w)

Sampaio (w)
0 matches total
Campinas (w)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history