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Brazil. Women. LBF
Brazil. Women. LBF International
28.07.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction
28.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Women. LBF

Sampaio (w) - Campinas (w)

International Basketball
Sampaio (w)
Sampaio (w)
70 : 52
Finished
Campinas (w)
Campinas (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Sampaio (w) — 80%

Pure model vs market (1 · Sampaio (w)): model 62% · market 92% Δ −30 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Sampaio (w) ✓ Pick79.7%
market92%
2 · Campinas (w)20.3%
market8%

Model estimate: win Sampaio (w) 79.7%, win Campinas (w) 20.3%. Model favourite — Sampaio (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sampaio (w) (odds1.25) Score 85:75 Over 136.5 (odds2.03) ✗ Handicap H1 -7.5 (odds1.80) ✓ confidence 78% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Sampayo (zh): forma VVP (2-1)
  • • Kampinas (zh): forma PVV (2-1)
  • • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Sampayo (zh): probability 78% vs 80% on the line (odds 1.25)
  • • no edge over the line (-2 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Over 136.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 136.5 (odds 2.03)
  • • Handicap F1 -7.5: score forecast 85:75 (diff +10) covers the line (odds 1.80).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sampaio (w) - Campinas (w) July 28, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sampaio (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Sampaio (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00
  • Glicko: Sampaio (w) 79.7% / Campinas (w) 20.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 ✓ Pick 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.17 → 1.17
Winner 2 4.40 → 4.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Sampaio (w) - Campinas (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 70:52
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 79.7% fact: home hit / ROI 17.0% / Brier 0.082 / LogLoss 0.226
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 61.9% fact: home hit / ROI 17.0% / Brier 0.290 / LogLoss 0.480
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 61.9% fact: home hit / ROI 17.0% / Brier 0.290 / LogLoss 0.480
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 61.9% fact: home hit / ROI 17.0% / Brier 0.290 / LogLoss 0.480
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sampaio (w) 81.1% 79.7% market and model agree
Campinas (w) 18.9% 20.3%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 79.7% / 20.3% probabilities
Rating 1,906 / 1,526 Sampaio (w) / Campinas (w)
RD 236 / 234 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,433-2,379 / 1,059-1,993 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.50 market consensus · no value · model 20.3%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 79.7%
Total
Over 119.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Over 121.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.58 63.3%
2.18 45.9%
2.20 45.5%
2.02 49.5%
2.30 43.5%
2.40 41.7%
2.55 39.2%
2.50 40.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.88 53.2%
1.63 61.4%
1.48 67.6%
2.05 48.8%
2.00 50.0%
2.17 46.1%
2.10 47.6%
2.08 48.1%
1.93 51.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 119.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 121.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 122.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 123.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 124.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 125.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 126.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 127.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 128.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 129.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 130.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 131.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 132.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 133.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 134.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 135.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 136.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 137.5 2.00 50.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.01 99.0% 1.11 90.1%
11.00 9.1% 5.50 18.2%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 8-0-2
2026-07-28 · Sampayo (Zh) 70:52 Kampinas Basket (Zh)
2026-07-25 · Sampayo (Zh) 65:54 Kampinas Basket (Zh)
2026-05-20 · Sampayo (Zh) 68:79 Kampinas Basket (Zh)
2026-04-08 · Sampayo (Zh) 68:57 Kampinas Basket (Zh)
2025-05-22 · Sampayo (Zh) 60:56 Kampinas Basket (Zh)
Source: ruscore
Sampaio (w)
W W L
25.07 14:00 UTC Brazil. Women. LBF
Sampaio (w) 65:54 Kampinas (zh)
21.07 00:00 UTC Brazil. Women. LBF
Sampaio (w) 61:46 Serrado (zh)
18.07 14:00 UTC Brazil. Women. LBF
Sampaio (w) 62:73 Serrado (zh)
2 Wins
1 Losses
62.7 Scored
57.7 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Campinas (w)
L W W
25.07 14:00 UTC Brazil. Women. LBF
Campinas (w) 54:65 Sampayo (zh)Sampayo (zh)
17.07 22:30 UTC Brazil. Women. LBF
Campinas (w) 70:67 Ararakuara (zh)Ararakuara (zh)
11.07 14:00 UTC Brazil. Women. LBF
Campinas (w) 79:77 Ararakuara (zh)Ararakuara (zh)
2 Wins
1 Losses
67.7 Scored
69.7 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySampaio (w) - Campinas (w)

Sampaio (w)
1 matches total
Campinas (w)
Sampaio (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Campinas (w): 1 (100%)
Biggest win Sampayo (zh) 65:54 (25.07 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 119 goals (65:54, 25.07 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

25.07 14:00 UTC Brazil. Women. LBF
Sampayo (zh)
65:54
Kampinas (zh)