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Central American and Caribbean Games. Women. U20
Central American and Caribbean Games. Women. U20 International
31.07.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction
31.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

Central American and Caribbean Games. Women. U20

International

Mexico U20 (w) - Panama U20 (w)

International Basketball
Mexico U20 (w)
Mexico U20 (w)
59 : 56
Finished
Panama U20 (w)
Panama U20 (w)

Mexico U20 (w) go head-to-head with Panama U20 (w) on July 31, 2026 in the Central American and Caribbean Games. Women. U20, International.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 48% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Panama U20 (w) — 52%

1 · Mexico U20 (w)47.6%
2 · Panama U20 (w)52.4%

Model estimate: win Mexico U20 (w) 47.6%, win Panama U20 (w) 52.4%. Model favourite — Panama U20 (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mexico U20 (w) - Panama U20 (w) July 31, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mexico U20 (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Mexico U20 (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.25 / 2 3.55
  • Glicko: Mexico U20 (w) 47.6% / Panama U20 (w) 52.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 74.0%
2 26.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.13 → 1.13
Winner 2 5.10 → 5.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Market 1 74.0% @ 1.25 / 2 26.0% @ 3.55
Form 3 matches
Match center

Mexico U20 (w) - Panama U20 (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 59:56
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 52.4% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.549 / LogLoss 0.742
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 51.0% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.519 / LogLoss 0.712
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mexico U20 (w) 81.9% 47.6% market favourite
Panama U20 (w) 18.1% 52.4% Glicko contrarian
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 47.6% / 52.4% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 2,318 Mexico U20 (w) / Panama U20 (w)
RD 350 / 193 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,932-2,704 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.55 Fonbet · weak value +85.9% · model 52.4%
1 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 47.6%
Total
Over 111.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Over 112.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.87 53.5%
1.83 54.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.72 58.1%
1.93 51.8%
1.83 54.6%
1.94 51.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 111.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 112.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 113.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 114.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 115.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 116.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 117.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 118.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 119.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 120.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 121.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 122.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 123.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 124.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 125.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 126.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 127.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 111.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.25 80.0%
3.55 28.2%
Match center
Mexico U20 (w)
W W W
29.07 14:30 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Mexico U20 (w) 86:46 Costa Rica (Zh)
27.07 17:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Mexico U20 (w) 70:61 Panama (Zh)
25.07 17:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Mexico U20 (w) 63:35 Nikaragua (Zh)Nikaragua (Zh)
3 Wins
0 Losses
73.0 Scored
47.3 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Panama U20 (w)
W W W W W
29.07 14:30 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Panama U20 (w) 86:46 Costa Rica (Zh)
27.07 17:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Panama U20 (w) 70:61 Panama (Zh)
25.07 17:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Panama U20 (w) 63:35 Nikaragua (Zh)Nikaragua (Zh)
18.07 23:30 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Centrobasket Championship Women - Playoff
Panama U20 (w) 82:68 Mexico (Zh)Mexico (Zh)
17.07 21:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Centrobasket Championship Women - Playoff
Panama U20 (w) 90:80 Dominican Republic (Zh)Dominican Republic (Zh)
5 Wins
0 Losses
78.2 Scored
58.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage