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Chile. Liga Nacional
Chile. Liga Nacional International
19.07.2026 23:30 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line ✓Form –H2H –Prediction
19.07.2026 23:30 UTC
Finished

Chile. Liga Nacional

Deportes Castro - Atletico PTO Varas

International Basketball
Deportes Castro
Deportes Castro
69 : 77
Finished
Atletico PTO Varas
Atletico PTO Varas

Deportes Castro go head-to-head with Atletico PTO Varas on July 19, 2026 in the Chile. Liga Nacional, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Deportes Castro 1-0-2, Atletico PTO Varas 1-0-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Atletico PTO Varas (odds1.26) Score 77:83 Under 161.5 (odds1.85) ✓ Handicap H1 +8.5 (odds1.85) ✓ confidence 72% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Deportes Kastro: forma VPP (1-2)
  • • Atletiko RTO Varas: forma VP (1)
  • • Model backs Atletiko RTO Varas: probability 72% vs 79% on the line (odds 1.26)
  • • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Under 161.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 161.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F1 +8.5: score forecast 77:83 (diff -6) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Deportes Castro - Atletico PTO Varas July 19, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Atletico PTO Varas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0% 4 books · best price +2.3%
1 29.3%
2 70.7%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen

Google AI updated03.08.2026 17:09 UTC
1 30%
2 70% ✓ favourite
Score83:90 Total points: Over 172.5 Bet:Win Atletiko Puerto-Varas (2)
Claude updated19.07.2026 22:15 UTC
1 38%
2 62% ✓ favourite
Score82:87 Total points: Under 171.5 Bet:Handicap Deportes Kastro +6.5
Kimi updated19.07.2026 22:17 UTC
1 22%
2 78% ✓ favourite
Score72:85 Total points: Over 165.5 Bet:?2 (?????? ???????? ??? ?????)
GLM 5.2 updated19.07.2026 22:18 UTC
1 28%
2 72% ✓ favourite
Score76:88 Total points: Over 165.5 Bet:AH2 (-8.5)

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total points Bet
Google AI 30% 70% 83:90 Over 172.5 Win Atletiko Puerto-Varas (2)
Claude 38% 62% 82:87 Under 171.5 Handicap Deportes Kastro +6.5
Kimi 22% 78% 72:85 Over 165.5 ?2 (?????? ???????? ??? ?????)
GLM 5.2 28% 72% 76:88 Over 165.5 AH2 (-8.5)

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Match center
Start 19.07.2026 23:30 UTC
Market 1 8.4% @ 11.00 / 2 91.6% @ 1.01
Match center

Deportes Castro - Atletico PTO Varas

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 69:77
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 3.11 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 144.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Over 145.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —
1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0% —
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% —
— — 1.72 58.1%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.83 54.6%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.75 57.1%
1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% —
1.88 53.2% 1.88 53.2% —
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 144.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 145.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 146.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Over 147.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 148.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 149.5 — — 1.78 56.2%
Over 150.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 151.5 — — 1.93 51.8%
Over 152.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 154.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 155.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Over 156.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Over 160.5 — — 1.87 53.5%
Over 161.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%
Under 161.5 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 11.00 9.1% 3.33 30.0%
1.34 74.6% 1.34 74.6% 1.01 99.0% 1.28 78.1%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-0-5
2026-07-19 · Kastro 69:77 Puerto Varas
2026-04-26 · Kastro 93:95 Puerto Varas
2026-04-06 · Kastro 89:103 Puerto Varas
2024-04-21 · Kastro 61:54 Puerto Varas
2024-01-27 · Kastro 91:75 Puerto Varas
Source: ruscore
Deportes Castro
W L L
19.07 00:00 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
Deportes Castro 87:76 Las AnimasLas Animas
12.07 23:30 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
Deportes Castro 78:92 Espanol OsornoEspanol Osorno
11.07 23:30 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
Deportes Castro 54:90 ValdiviyaValdiviya
1 Wins
2 Losses
73.0 Scored
86.0 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Atletico PTO Varas
L W L
19.07 00:30 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
Atletico PTO Varas 84:90 AnkudAnkud
14.07 00:30 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
Atletico PTO Varas 86:81 Puerto Montt
10.07 00:30 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
Atletico PTO Varas 49:97 Las AnimasLas Animas
1 Wins
2 Losses
73.0 Scored
89.3 Conceded
33% Win percentage