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Chile. Liga Nacional
Chile. Liga Nacional International
02.08.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction
02.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished

Chile. Liga Nacional

International

Puente Alto - Colegio Los Leones

International Basketball
Puente Alto
Puente Alto
62 : 68
Finished
Colegio Los Leones
Colegio Los Leones

Puente Alto face Colegio Los Leones on August 2, 2026 in the Chile. Liga Nacional, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Puente Alto 1-0-4, Colegio Los Leones 5-0-0. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 41% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Colegio Los Leones — 59%

Pure model vs market (2 · Colegio Los Leones): model 61% · market 89% Δ −28 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Puente Alto41.0%
market11%
2 · Colegio Los Leones ✓ Pick59.0%
market89%

Model estimate: win Puente Alto 41.0%, win Colegio Los Leones 59.0%. Model favourite — Colegio Los Leones.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Colegio Los Leones (odds1.62) Score 78:82 Over 157.5 (odds1.82) ✗ Handicap H2 -2.5 (odds1.80) ✓ confidence 61% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Puento Alto: forma PVPPP (1-4)
  • • Kolekhio Los Leones: forma VV (2-0)
  • • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Kolekhio Los Leones: probability 61% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.62)
  • • no edge over the line (-1 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Over 157.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 157.5 (odds 1.82)
  • • Handicap F2 -2.5: score forecast 78:82 (diff -4) covers the line (odds 1.80).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Puente Alto - Colegio Los Leones August 2, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Colegio Los Leones.

Line favourite Fonbet: Colegio Los Leones. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.90 / 2 1.02
  • Glicko: Puente Alto 41.0% / Colegio Los Leones 59.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.7%
1 11.4%
2 ✓ Pick 88.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.15 ↑ 2.25
Winner 2 1.62 ↓ 1.57

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Market 1 11.4% @ 7.90 / 2 88.6% @ 1.02
Form 5 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Puente Alto - Colegio Los Leones

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 62:68
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 59.0% fact: away hit / ROI 62.0% / Brier 0.336 / LogLoss 0.527
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 53.6% fact: away hit / ROI 62.0% / Brier 0.430 / LogLoss 0.623
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Puente Alto 41.1% 41.0%
Colegio Los Leones 58.9% 59.0% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 41.0% / 59.0% probabilities
Rating 1,347 / 1,808 Puente Alto / Colegio Los Leones
RD 225 / 259 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 897-1,798 / 1,291-2,325 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 59.0%
1 7.90 Fonbet · no value · model 41.0%
Total
Over 154.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Over 155.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
1.90 52.6% —
1.90 52.6% —
1.81 55.3% —
— 1.80 55.6%
— 1.83 54.6%
— 1.80 55.6%
— 1.78 56.2%
— 1.85 54.1%
— 1.75 57.1%
— 1.82 55.0%
— 1.88 53.2%
— 1.87 53.5%
1.91 52.4% —
1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%
— 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 154.5 — 1.75 57.1%
Over 155.5 — 1.87 53.5%
Over 156.5 — 1.95 51.3%
Over 157.5 1.89 52.9% 1.85 54.1%
Over 158.5 1.90 52.6% 1.75 57.1%
Over 159.5 — 1.75 57.1%
Over 160.5 — 1.80 55.6%
Over 161.5 — 1.85 54.1%
Over 162.5 1.85 54.1% —
Over 163.5 1.86 53.8% —
Over 164.5 1.86 53.8% —
Under 157.5 1.81 55.3% —
Under 158.5 1.82 55.0% —
Under 162.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 163.5 1.84 54.4% —
Under 164.5 1.84 54.4% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
2.15 46.5% 7.90 12.7% 2.40 41.7%
1.62 61.7% 1.02 98.0% 1.51 66.2%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 4-0-6
2026-08-02 · Puente Alto 75:88 Kolekhio Leones Kilpue
2026-07-12 · Puente Alto 62:73 Kolekhio Leones Kilpue
2026-05-26 · Puente Alto 68:83 Kolekhio Leones Kilpue
2026-05-23 · Puente Alto 81:89 Kolekhio Leones Kilpue
2026-05-22 · Puente Alto 73:64 Kolekhio Leones Kilpue
Source: ruscore
Puente Alto
L W L L L
2026-07-31 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference Center
Puente Alto Univer de Concepcion 97:89 Puente Alto
2026-07-26 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference Center
Puente Alto Puente Alto 77:68 CD Univ Catolica
2026-07-24 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference Center
Puente Alto Colo Colo 96:84 Puente Alto
2026-07-12 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference Center
Puente Alto Colegio Los Leones 73:62 Puente Alto
2026-07-10 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference Center
Puente Alto Puente Alto 79:86 Univer de Concepcion
1 Wins
4 Losses
78.2 Scored
84.0 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Colegio Los Leones
W W W W W
2026-07-26 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference Center
C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca 63:100 Colegio Los Leones Colegio Los Leones
2026-07-16 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference Center
Colegio Los Leones 87:77 Colo Colo Colegio Los Leones
2026-07-12 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference Center
Colegio Los Leones 73:62 Puente Alto Colegio Los Leones
2026-06-14 LNB 2026, Apertura, Playoffs
Colegio Los Leones 77:71 Espanol Osorno Colegio Los Leones
2026-06-10 LNB 2026, Apertura, Playoffs
Univer de Concepcion 78:79 Colegio Los Leones Colegio Los Leones
5 Wins
0 Losses
83.2 Scored
70.2 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPuente Alto - Colegio Los Leones

Puente Alto
3 matches total
Colegio Los Leones
Puente Alto: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Colegio Los Leones: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Colegio Los Leones 68:83 (2026-05-26) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 170 goals (89:81, 2026-05-23) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-07-12 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference Center
Colegio Los Leones 73:62 Puente Alto
2026-05-26 LNB 2026, Apertura, Playoffs
Puente Alto 68:83 Colegio Los Leones
2026-05-23 LNB 2026, Apertura, Playoffs
Colegio Los Leones 89:81 Puente Alto