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Chile. Liga Nacional
Chile. Liga Nacional International
11.07.2026 23:30 UTC
Finished

Chile. Liga Nacional

Valdivia - Deportes Castro

International Basketball
Valdivia
Valdivia
90 : 54
Finished
Deportes Castro
Deportes Castro
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Deportes Castro (odds6.17) Score 80:80 Under 167.5 (odds1.88) Handicap H2 +14.5 (odds1.80) confidence 51% ✗ outcome missed
  • Valdiviya: forma pp (0-2)
  • Model backs Deportes Kastro: probability 51%
  • Total: Under 167.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 167.5 (odds 1.88)
  • Handicap F2 +14.5: covers the line (odds 1.80).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valdivia - Deportes Castro July 11, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Valdivia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 23:30 UTC
Match center

Valdivia - Deportes Castro

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.10 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 152.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Over 154.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.82 55.0%
1.88 53.2%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 152.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 154.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 155.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 158.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 159.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 160.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 162.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 163.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 165.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 166.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 167.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 168.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.80 55.6%
Over 169.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 170.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 168.5 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.09 91.7% 1.09 91.7% 1.01 99.0%
6.10 16.4% 6.10 16.4% 11.00 9.1%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyValdivia - Deportes Castro

Valdivia
0 matches total
Deportes Castro
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history