AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Denmark. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →Europe: EuroBasket - Qualification - Second Krug
Denmark vs Romania — Basketball prediction
Denmark take on Romania on August 27, 2026 in the Europe: EuroBasket - Qualification - Second Krug.
Recent form (W-D-L): Denmark 0-0-5, Romania 2-0-3. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 65% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Denmark — 65%
Model estimate: win Denmark 65.4%, win Romania 34.6%. Model favourite — Denmark.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Match winner — Romania
How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Denmark - Romania August 27, 2026
Basketball math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Romania.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.40 / 2 1.05
- Glicko: Denmark 65.4% / Romania 34.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
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Denmark - Romania
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.55 64.5% | |
| 2.65 37.7% | |
| 2.20 45.5% | |
| 2.50 40.0% | |
| 2.85 35.1% | |
| 1.43 69.9% | |
| 1.45 69.0% | |
| 1.50 66.7% | |
| 1.35 74.1% | |
| 1.41 70.9% | |
| 1.58 63.3% | |
| 1.48 67.6% | |
| 1.40 71.4% | |
| 1.47 68.0% | |
| 1.50 66.7% | |
| 1.53 65.4% | |
| 1.45 69.0% | |
| 1.50 66.7% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 141.5 | 1.38 72.5% |
| Over 142.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 143.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 144.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
| Over 145.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 146.5 | 1.92 52.1% |
| Over 147.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 148.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| Over 149.5 | 1.38 72.5% |
| Over 150.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
| Over 151.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| Over 152.5 | 1.82 55.0% |
| Over 153.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 154.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 155.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 156.5 | 2.02 49.5% |
| Over 157.5 | 2.55 39.2% |
| Over 158.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.40 15.6% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.47 68.0% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.79 35.8% |
Form & head-to-head
Denmark
Romania
Full head-to-head history: Denmark - Romania
Match history
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The Denmark - Romania breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Recent form
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Denmark vs Romania?
By the PropickAI model, Romania is favoured — about 65% win probability.
What does PropickAI predict for Denmark vs Romania?
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Romania. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
What are the bookmaker odds for Denmark vs Romania?
Live odds for Denmark vs Romania from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.
When does Denmark vs Romania start?
August 27, 2026.