AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Torun. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
02.09.2026 16:00 UTC
Match prediction
Friendly games
Torun face Norrkoping Dolphins in basketball, in Friendly games, on 2 September 2026. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model makes Torun the favourite, with a win probability of about 65%. The bookmaker consensus (5 books) implies about 66% for the same outcome.
Detailed recent-game data is thin here, so the read rests on the PropickAI model and the bookmaker prices. On the Glicko scale the two are essentially level. The game is part of Friendly games.
Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is moderate. That is a 1-point gap to the market. On a hit-rate basis the steadier pick tilts to a covered market on Torun - double chance looks calmer than a clean win. Key markers: the model's 65% for Torun. Below on this page: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Torun — 64%
Model estimate: win Torun 64.1%, win Norrkoping Dolphins 35.9%. Model favourite — Torun.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Norrkoping Dolphins.
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon, Pinnacle). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and formHead-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
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We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| — | — | 1.45 69.0% | |
| — | — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| — | — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | — | 1.83 54.6% | |
| — | — | 1.70 58.8% | |
| — | — | 1.55 64.5% | |
| — | — | 1.75 57.1% | |
| — | — | 1.60 62.5% | |
| — | — | 1.50 66.7% | |
| — | — | 2.15 46.5% | |
| — | — | 1.95 51.3% | |
| — | — | 1.80 55.6% | |
| — | — | 1.68 59.5% | |
| — | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 146.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 147.5 | — | — | 1.77 56.5% |
| Over 148.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 149.5 | — | — | 2.02 49.5% |
| Over 150.5 | — | — | 1.57 63.7% |
| Over 151.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 152.5 | — | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 153.5 | — | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 154.5 | — | — | 1.53 65.4% |
| Over 155.5 | — | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 156.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 157.5 | — | — | 1.77 56.5% |
| Over 158.5 | — | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 159.5 | — | — | 2.25 44.4% |
| Over 167.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Under 167.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.41 70.9% | 1.42 70.4% | 2.80 35.7% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.35 74.2% | |
| 2.63 38.0% | 2.65 37.7% | 1.35 74.1% | 2.81 35.6% | 2.95 33.9% |
Torun
Norrkoping Dolphins
Full head-to-head history: Torun - Norrkoping Dolphins
The Torun - Norrkoping Dolphins breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
By the PropickAI model, Norrkoping Dolphins is favoured — about 64% win probability.
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Norrkoping Dolphins. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
Live odds for Torun vs Norrkoping Dolphins from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.
September 2, 2026.
Match markets