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AI verdict

AI pick Kvarner 2010 win probability ~58% confidence Medium best odds 1.85

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Kvarner 2010. Full breakdown below.

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Friendly games
Friendly games International
30.08.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line –Form –H2H ✓Prediction
30.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Friendly games

Zabok vs Kvarner 2010 — Basketball prediction

International Basketball
Zabok
Zabok
87 : 86
Finished
Kvarner 2010
Kvarner 2010

Zabok face Kvarner 2010 in basketball, in Friendly games, on 30 August 2026. The PropickAI Glicko-2 model rates Kvarner 2010 as the favourite at around 58%. The bookmaker consensus (5 books) implies about 58% for the same outcome.

Detailed recent-game data is thin here, so the model leans mainly on the team ratings. Glicko ratings: Zabok 1277, Kvarner 2010 1500, a gap of 223 points. The game is part of Friendly games.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is low. The favourite's edge is moderate, so a protective market (double chance or draw-no-bet) is steadier than a single outright bet. Key markers: an edge of 223 Glicko rating points, the model's 58% for Kvarner 2010. Below on this page: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Kvarner 2010 — 58%

1 · Zabok42.3%
2 · Kvarner 2010 ✓ Pick57.7%

Model estimate: win Zabok 42.3%, win Kvarner 2010 57.7%. Model favourite — Kvarner 2010.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zabok - Kvarner 2010 August 30, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Zabok.

Line favourite Fonbet: Zabok. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.85 / 2 1.85
  • Glicko: Zabok 42.3% / Kvarner 2010 57.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1% 5 books · best price +15.6%
1 42.0%
2 ✓ Pick 58.1%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon, Pinnacle). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.67 ↑ 2.25
Winner 2 2.07 ↓ 1.57

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Zabok
42%
2.30
Kvarner 2010
58%
1.85
Handicap
Zabok (2.5)
50%
1.87
Kvarner 2010 (2.5)
50%
1.85
Total
Over 158.5
50%
1.85
Under 158.5
50%
1.90

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Match center
Start 30.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 50.0% @ 1.85 / 2 50.0% @ 1.85
Form 1 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Kvarner 2010 58%
💹 Market Kvarner 2010 58%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Zabok - Kvarner 2010

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 87:86
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 57.7% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.665 / LogLoss 0.860
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 53.1% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.563 / LogLoss 0.757
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Zabok 41.8% 42.3%
Kvarner 2010 58.2% 57.7% market and model agree
1X2: 5 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 42.3% / 57.7% probabilities
Rating 1,277 / 1,500 Zabok / Kvarner 2010
RD 282 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 714-1,841 / 800-2,200 strength interval

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.85 Fonbet · value +6.7% · model 57.7%
1 1.85 Fonbet · no value · model 42.3%
Handicap
2 1 1.83 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.83 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 158.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Over 159.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6% —
— — 2.15 46.5%
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% —
— — 2.10 47.6%
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%
— — 1.77 56.5%
— — 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.83 54.6%
— — 1.93 51.8%
— — 1.62 61.7%
— — 1.80 55.6%
1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.82 55.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 158.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6%
Over 159.5 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1%
Over 160.5 — — 1.82 55.0%
Over 161.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Over 162.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 163.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Over 164.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Over 165.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 167.5 — — 1.92 52.1%
Over 168.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Under 158.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% —
Under 159.5 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon Pinnacle
2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 1.85 54.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.19 45.7%
1.58 63.3% 1.59 62.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.60 62.5% 1.63 61.4%
Match center
Zabok
L
29.08 16:00 UTC+0 Friendlies
Zabok 65:76 AlkarAlkar
0 Wins
1 Losses
65.0 Scored
76.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Kvarner 2010
L
29.08 16:00 UTC+0 Friendlies
Kvarner 2010 65:76 AlkarAlkar
0 Wins
1 Losses
65.0 Scored
76.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zabok vs Kvarner 2010?

By the PropickAI model, Zabok is favoured — about 58% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Zabok vs Kvarner 2010?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Zabok. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Zabok vs Kvarner 2010?

Live odds for Zabok vs Kvarner 2010 from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Zabok vs Kvarner 2010 start?

August 30, 2026.