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IPBL
IPBL International
13.07.2026 10:10 MSK Match prediction
13.07.2026 10:10 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Asbest - Kemerovo

International Basketball
Asbest
Asbest
120 : 126
Finished
Kemerovo
Kemerovo
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Asbest — 54%

1 · Asbest54.1%
2 · Kemerovo45.9%

Model estimate: win Asbest 54.1%, win Kemerovo 45.9%. Model favourite — Asbest.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Asbest - Kemerovo 13 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Asbest.

Line favourite Fonbet: Asbest. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.25 / 2 3.55
  • Glicko: Asbest 54.1% / Kemerovo 45.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 74.0%
2 26.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.40 ↓ 1.25
Победитель П2 1.50 ↑ 3.55

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.07.2026 10:10 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Asbest - Kemerovo

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 120:126
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Asbest 74.0% 54.1% market and model agree
Kemerovo 26.0% 45.9%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 54.1% / 45.9% probabilities
Rating 1,579 / 1,569 Asbest / Kemerovo
RD 73 / 69 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,433-1,724 / 1,432-1,707 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.55 Fonbet · weak value +62.8% · model 45.9%
1 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 54.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 203.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 204.5 1.46 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 2.05 48.8%
П2 +1.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 -0.5 2.15 46.5%
П2 -1.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -10.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 -11.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -12.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 -13.5 1.52 65.8%
П2 -14.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -15.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 -2.5 2.15 46.5%
П2 -3.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -4.5 2.15 46.5%
П2 -5.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -6.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -7.5 2.45 40.8%
П2 -8.5 2.13 47.0%
П2 -9.5 2.52 39.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 203.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 204.5 1.46 68.5%
ТБ 205.5 1.38 72.5%
ТБ 206.5 1.52 65.8%
ТБ 207.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 208.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 209.5 2.13 47.0%
ТБ 210.5 2.40 41.7%
ТБ 211.5 2.40 41.7%
ТБ 212.5 2.40 41.7%
ТБ 213.5 2.15 46.5%
ТБ 214.5 2.15 46.5%
ТБ 215.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 216.5 2.03 49.3%
ТБ 217.5 2.15 46.5%
ТБ 218.5 2.13 47.0%
ТБ 219.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 220.5 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.25 80.0%
П2 3.55 28.2%
Match center
Asbest
W L W W L
13.07 08:10 МСК IPBL
Asbest 119:117 Irkutsk
13.07 06:10 МСК IPBL
Asbest 123:126 Essentuki
10.07 08:10 МСК IPBL
Asbest 113:108 Irkutsk
10.07 06:10 МСК IPBL
Asbest 105:93 Essentuki
09.07 10:10 МСК IPBL
Asbest 104:109 Kemerovo
3 Wins
2 Losses
112.8 Scored
110.6 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Kemerovo
L L L L W
13.07 09:10 МСК IPBL
Kemerovo 119:121 Essentuki
13.07 07:10 МСК IPBL
Kemerovo 117:125 Irkutsk
10.07 09:10 МСК IPBL
Kemerovo 129:132 Essentuki
10.07 07:10 МСК IPBL
Kemerovo 106:116 Irkutsk
09.07 10:10 МСК IPBL
Kemerovo 109:104 Asbest
1 Wins
4 Losses
116.0 Scored
119.6 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAsbest - Kemerovo

Asbest
2 matches total
Kemerovo
Asbest: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Kemerovo: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Kemerovo 104:109 (09.07 10:10 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 230 goals (117:113, 07.07 10:10 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

09.07 10:10 МСК IPBL
Asbest
104:109
Kemerovo
07.07 10:10 МСК IPBL
Asbest
117:113
Kemerovo