IPBL
IPBL International
10.07.2026 03:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Barnaul - Novosibirsk

International Basketball
Barnaul
Barnaul
87 : 84
Finished
Novosibirsk
Novosibirsk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barnaul - Novosibirsk July 10, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Barnaul. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.33 / 2 3.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.5%
1 69.3%
2 30.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.07.2026 03:00 UTC
Match center

Barnaul - Novosibirsk

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.33 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 171.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Over 172.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

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bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.00 50.0%
2.20 45.5%
1.93 51.8%
2.10 47.6%
1.75 57.1%
1.87 53.5%
2.00 50.0%
1.83 54.6%
1.63 61.4%
1.50 66.7%
1.85 54.1%
2.35 42.6%
2.05 48.8%
1.94 51.6%
1.68 59.5%
1.46 68.5%
1.43 69.9%
1.48 67.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 171.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 172.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 173.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 174.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 175.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 176.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 177.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 178.5 1.76 56.8%
Over 179.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 180.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 181.5 2.52 39.7%
Over 182.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 183.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 184.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 185.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 186.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 187.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 188.5 1.95 51.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.33 75.2%
3.00 33.3%
Match center
Barnaul
L L L
08.07 07:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 109:125 Sochi
08.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 110:111 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
08.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 96:98 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
0 Wins
3 Losses
105.0 Scored
111.3 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Novosibirsk
W L W
08.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 111:110 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
08.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 95:120 Sochi
08.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 98:96 Barnaul
2 Wins
1 Losses
101.3 Scored
108.7 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBarnaul - Novosibirsk

Barnaul
1 matches total
Novosibirsk
Barnaul: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Novosibirsk: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Novosibirsk 96:98 (08.07 03:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 194 goals (96:98, 08.07 03:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

08.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul
96:98
Novosibirsk