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IPBL
IPBL International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
23.07.2026 03:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Barnaul - Novosibirsk

International Basketball
Barnaul
Barnaul
107 : 114
Finished
Novosibirsk
Novosibirsk

Barnaul go head-to-head with Novosibirsk on July 23, 2026 in the IPBL, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Barnaul 0-0-5, Novosibirsk 4-0-1. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barnaul - Novosibirsk July 23, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Barnaul. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.08 / 2 6.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 85.8%
2 14.3%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.07.2026 03:00 UTC
Market 1 85.8% @ 1.08 / 2 14.2% @ 6.50
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Match center

Barnaul - Novosibirsk

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 67.2% fact: away hit / ROI 23.0% / Brier 0.215 / LogLoss 0.397
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 56.9% fact: away hit / ROI 23.0% / Brier 0.372 / LogLoss 0.564
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 198.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 199.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.07 48.3%
2.40 41.7%
2.40 41.7%
1.83 54.6%
2.00 50.0%
2.07 48.3%
1.80 55.6%
1.62 61.7%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.60 62.5%
1.83 54.6%
1.67 59.9%
1.55 64.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.65 60.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.70 58.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 198.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 199.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 200.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 201.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 202.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 203.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 204.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 205.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 206.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 207.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 208.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 209.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 210.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 211.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 212.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 213.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 214.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 215.5 2.20 45.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.08 92.6%
6.50 15.4%
Match center
Barnaul
L L L L L
22.07 07:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 106:122 Sochi
22.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 95:99 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
20.07 07:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 93:97 Sochi
20.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 100:101 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
20.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 97:108 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
0 Wins
5 Losses
98.2 Scored
105.4 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Novosibirsk
W L W W W
22.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 114:98 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
22.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 114:115 Sochi
20.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 119:104 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
20.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 97:78 Sochi
20.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 108:97 Barnaul
4 Wins
1 Losses
110.4 Scored
98.4 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBarnaul - Novosibirsk

Barnaul
3 matches total
Novosibirsk
Barnaul: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Novosibirsk: 2 (66.7%)
Biggest win Barnaul 90:77 (15.07 03:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 226 goals (110:116, 17.07 03:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

20.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul
97:108
Novosibirsk
17.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul
110:116
Novosibirsk
15.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul
90:77
Novosibirsk