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IPBL
IPBL International
29.07.2026 04:00 UTC Match prediction
29.07.2026 04:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Barnaul - Novosibirsk

International Basketball
Barnaul
Barnaul
85 : 96
Finished
Novosibirsk
Novosibirsk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barnaul - Novosibirsk July 29, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Novosibirsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 8.50 / 2 1.04

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 10.9%
2 89.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 04:00 UTC
Match center

Barnaul - Novosibirsk

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.04 Fonbet · line only
1 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 179.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Over 180.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.00 50.0%
1.87 53.5%
1.48 67.6%
1.62 61.7%
1.76 56.8%
1.47 68.0%
1.60 62.5%
1.90 52.6%
2.07 48.3%
2.40 41.7%
2.00 50.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.63 61.4%
1.75 57.1%
2.00 50.0%
1.87 53.5%
1.77 56.5%
1.70 58.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 179.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 180.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 181.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 182.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 183.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 184.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 185.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 186.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 187.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 188.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 189.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 190.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 191.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 192.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 193.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 194.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 195.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 196.5 2.00 50.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
8.50 11.8%
1.04 96.2%
Match center
Barnaul
L L L L L
27.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 92:94 Sochi
27.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 109:118 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
27.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 93:114 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
24.07 07:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 106:110 Sochi
24.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 106:113 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
0 Wins
5 Losses
101.2 Scored
109.8 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Novosibirsk
W W W W L
27.07 07:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 137:132 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
27.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 106:99 Sochi
27.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 114:93 Barnaul
24.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 126:123 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
24.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 101:113 Sochi
4 Wins
1 Losses
116.8 Scored
112.0 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBarnaul - Novosibirsk

Barnaul
3 matches total
Novosibirsk
Barnaul: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Novosibirsk: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Novosibirsk 93:114 (27.07 04:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 221 goals (107:114, 23.07 03:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

27.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul
93:114
Novosibirsk
23.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul
107:114
Novosibirsk
20.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul
97:108
Novosibirsk