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IPBL
IPBL International
31.07.2026 04:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Barnaul - Novosibirsk

International Basketball
Barnaul
Barnaul
114 : 120
Finished
Novosibirsk
Novosibirsk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barnaul - Novosibirsk July 31, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Novosibirsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.00 / 2 1.33

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.5%
1 30.7%
2 69.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 04:00 UTC
Match center

Barnaul - Novosibirsk

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.33 Fonbet · line only
1 3.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 205.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 206.5 1.76 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.55 39.2%
1.45 69.0%
2.03 49.3%
2.00 50.0%
2.23 44.8%
2.00 50.0%
2.20 45.5%
2.10 47.6%
2.20 45.5%
2.10 47.6%
1.60 62.5%
1.80 55.6%
2.03 49.3%
2.35 42.6%
1.65 60.6%
1.85 54.1%
2.10 47.6%
1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 205.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 206.5 1.76 56.8%
Over 207.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 208.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 209.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 210.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 211.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 212.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 213.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 214.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 215.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 216.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 217.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 218.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 219.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 220.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 221.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 222.5 1.58 63.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
3.00 33.3%
1.33 75.2%
Match center
Barnaul
L L L L L
29.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 87:108 Sochi
29.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 104:107 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
29.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 85:96 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
27.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 92:94 Sochi
27.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 109:118 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
0 Wins
5 Losses
95.4 Scored
104.6 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Novosibirsk
W W W W W
29.07 07:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 124:108 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
29.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 120:109 Sochi
29.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 96:85 Barnaul
27.07 07:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 137:132 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
27.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 106:99 Sochi
5 Wins
0 Losses
116.6 Scored
106.6 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBarnaul - Novosibirsk

Barnaul
3 matches total
Novosibirsk
Barnaul: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Novosibirsk: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Novosibirsk 93:114 (27.07 04:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 221 goals (107:114, 23.07 03:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

29.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul
85:96
Novosibirsk
27.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul
93:114
Novosibirsk
23.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul
107:114
Novosibirsk