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IPBL
IPBL International
15.07.2026 08:00 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 08:00 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Barnaul - Saint Petersburg

International Basketball
Barnaul
Barnaul
100 : 109
Finished
Saint Petersburg
Saint Petersburg
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Barnaul — 58%

1 · Barnaul ✓ Прогноз57.7%
2 · Saint Petersburg42.3%

Model estimate: win Barnaul 57.7%, win Saint Petersburg 42.3%. Model favourite — Barnaul.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barnaul - Saint Petersburg 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Saint Petersburg.

Line favourite Fonbet: Saint Petersburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.20 / 2 1.19
  • Glicko: Barnaul 57.7% / Saint Petersburg 42.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.8%
1 ✓ Прогноз 22.1%
2 77.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.30 ↑ 3.55
Победитель П2 1.55 ↓ 1.25

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 08:00 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Barnaul - Saint Petersburg

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 100:109
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Barnaul 26.0% 57.7% Glicko-противоход
Saint Petersburg 74.0% 42.3% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 57.7% / 42.3% probabilities
Rating 1,367 / 1,288 Barnaul / Saint Petersburg
RD 71 / 71 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,225-1,508 / 1,146-1,430 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.19 Fonbet · no value · model 42.3%
1 4.20 Fonbet · weak value +142.2% · model 57.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.13 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 187.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Over 188.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 +1.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 +10.5 2.05 48.8%
П2 +11.5 1.94 51.6%
П2 +12.5 2.07 48.3%
П2 +13.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 +14.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 +15.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 +16.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 -0.5 2.30 43.5%
П2 -1.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -2.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -3.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 -4.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -5.5 1.62 61.7%
П2 -6.5 1.48 67.6%
П2 -7.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 -8.5 1.52 65.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 187.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 188.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 189.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 190.5 1.52 65.8%
ТБ 191.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 192.5 1.52 65.8%
ТБ 193.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 194.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 195.5 2.05 48.8%
ТБ 196.5 2.30 43.5%
ТБ 197.5 2.65 37.7%
ТБ 198.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 199.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 200.5 2.15 46.5%
ТБ 201.5 2.07 48.3%
ТБ 202.5 2.23 44.8%
ТБ 203.5 1.94 51.6%
ТБ 204.5 2.07 48.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 4.20 23.8%
П2 1.19 84.0%
Match center
Barnaul
W W W W W
15.07 06:00 МСК IPBL
Barnaul 90:77 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
13.07 10:00 МСК IPBL
Barnaul 111:102 Sochi
13.07 08:00 МСК IPBL
Barnaul 101:94 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
13.07 06:00 МСК IPBL
Barnaul 98:92 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
10.07 10:00 МСК IPBL
Barnaul 89:83 Sochi
5 Wins
0 Losses
97.8 Scored
89.6 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Saint Petersburg
L W L L W
15.07 07:00 МСК IPBL
Saint Petersburg 93:110 Sochi
13.07 11:00 МСК IPBL
Saint Petersburg 108:107 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
13.07 08:00 МСК IPBL
Saint Petersburg 94:101 Barnaul
13.07 07:00 МСК IPBL
Saint Petersburg 94:97 Sochi
10.07 11:00 МСК IPBL
Saint Petersburg 122:107 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
2 Wins
3 Losses
102.2 Scored
104.4 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBarnaul - Saint Petersburg

Barnaul
3 matches total
Saint Petersburg
Barnaul: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Saint Petersburg: 2 (66.7%)
Biggest win Sankt-Peterburg 105:117 (10.07 08:00 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 222 goals (105:117, 10.07 08:00 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 08:00 МСК IPBL
Barnaul
101:94
Sankt-Peterburg
10.07 08:00 МСК IPBL
Barnaul
105:117
Sankt-Peterburg
08.07 08:00 МСК IPBL
Barnaul
110:111
Sankt-Peterburg