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IPBL
IPBL International
29.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Barnaul - Saint Petersburg

International Basketball
Barnaul
Barnaul
104 : 107
Finished
Saint Petersburg
Saint Petersburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barnaul - Saint Petersburg July 29, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Saint Petersburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.70 / 2 1.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.5%
1 34.1%
2 65.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Match center

Barnaul - Saint Petersburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.40 Fonbet · line only
1 2.70 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 198.5 1.46 Fonbet · line only
Over 199.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.87 53.5%
2.35 42.6%
2.07 48.3%
1.87 53.5%
2.00 50.0%
2.13 47.0%
1.87 53.5%
2.00 50.0%
2.15 46.5%
2.07 48.3%
1.87 53.5%
2.03 49.3%
1.77 56.5%
1.60 62.5%
1.95 51.3%
1.83 54.6%
1.70 58.8%
1.60 62.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 198.5 1.46 68.5%
Over 199.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 200.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 201.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 202.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 203.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 204.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 205.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 206.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 207.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 208.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 209.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 210.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 211.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 212.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 213.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 214.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 215.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
2.70 37.0%
1.40 71.4%
Match center
Barnaul
L L L L L
29.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 85:96 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
27.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 92:94 Sochi
27.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 109:118 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
27.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 93:114 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
24.07 07:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 106:110 Sochi
0 Wins
5 Losses
97.0 Scored
106.4 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Saint Petersburg
L L W L L
29.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Saint Petersburg 85:91 Sochi
27.07 07:00 UTC IPBL
Saint Petersburg 132:137 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
27.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Saint Petersburg 118:109 Barnaul
27.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Saint Petersburg 109:116 Sochi
24.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Saint Petersburg 123:126 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
1 Wins
4 Losses
113.4 Scored
115.8 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBarnaul - Saint Petersburg

Barnaul
3 matches total
Saint Petersburg
Barnaul: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Saint Petersburg: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Sankt-Peterburg 109:118 (27.07 05:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 227 goals (109:118, 27.07 05:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

27.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul
109:118
Sankt-Peterburg
24.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul
106:113
Sankt-Peterburg
22.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul
95:99
Sankt-Peterburg