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IPBL International

17.07.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction

17.07.2026 10:00 UTC

Finished

IPBL

Bears - Octopus

International Basketball

Bears

121 : 126

Finished

Octopus

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bears - Octopus July 17, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Octopus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.90 / 2 1.14

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%

1 18.9%

2 81.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 17.07.2026 10:00 UTC

Match center

Bears - Octopus

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.14 Fonbet · line only

1 4.90 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 239.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only

Over 240.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.83 54.6%
	1.80 55.6%
	2.00 50.0%
	1.68 59.5%
	1.93 51.8%
	1.65 60.6%
	1.85 54.1%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.68 59.5%
	1.72 58.1%
	1.70 58.8%
	1.87 53.5%
	1.72 58.1%
	1.68 59.5%
	1.70 58.8%
	2.00 50.0%
	2.00 50.0%
	1.93 51.8%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 239.5	1.68 59.5%
Over 240.5	1.83 54.6%
Over 241.5	2.00 50.0%
Over 243.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 244.5	1.83 54.6%
Over 245.5	2.05 48.8%
Over 246.5	2.13 47.0%
Over 247.5	1.95 51.3%
Over 248.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 249.5	2.05 48.8%
Over 250.5	2.00 50.0%
Over 251.5	1.90 52.6%
Over 252.5	2.03 49.3%
Over 253.5	1.95 51.3%
Over 254.5	1.83 54.6%
Over 255.5	1.95 51.3%
Over 256.5	2.00 50.0%
Over 257.5	1.75 57.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	4.90 20.4%
	1.14 87.7%

Match center

Bears

W W W L W

17.07 05:00 UTC IPBL

Bears 138:134 Reyvens

15.07 10:00 UTC IPBL

Bears 142:120 Oktopus

15.07 07:30 UTC IPBL

Bears 147:124 Piranyas

15.07 05:00 UTC IPBL

Bears 111:117 Reyvens

13.07 10:00 UTC IPBL

Bears 150:132 Oktopus

4 Wins

1 Losses

137.6 Scored

125.4 Conceded

80% Win percentage

Octopus

W L L L W

17.07 08:45 UTC IPBL

Octopus 134:133 Reyvens

17.07 06:15 UTC IPBL

Octopus 122:126 Piranyas

15.07 10:00 UTC IPBL

Octopus 120:142 Birz

15.07 08:45 UTC IPBL

Octopus 170:174 Reyvens

15.07 06:15 UTC IPBL

Octopus 137:127 Piranyas

2 Wins

3 Losses

136.6 Scored

140.4 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBears - Octopus

Bears

3 matches total

Octopus

Bears: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Octopus: 3 (100%)

Biggest win Birz 142:120 (15.07 10:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 282 goals (150:132, 13.07 10:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

15.07 10:00 UTC IPBL

Birz

142:120

Oktopus

13.07 10:00 UTC IPBL

Birz

150:132

Oktopus

09.07 10:00 UTC IPBL

Birz

130:111

Oktopus